westiron54

Zcash: Is volume telling us a story?

Long
westiron54 Updated   
KRAKEN:ZECUSD   Zcash
On OBV: "Granville theorized that volume precedes price. OBV rises when volume on up days outpaces volume on down days. OBV falls when volume on down days is stronger. A rising OBV reflects positive volume pressure that can lead to higher prices. Conversely, falling OBV reflects negative volume pressure that can foreshadow lower prices. Granville noted in his research that OBV would often move before price. Expect prices to move higher if OBV is rising while prices are either flat or moving down. Expect prices to move lower if OBV is falling while prices are either flat or moving up."


On cumulative Delta Volume: "In order to understand what this indicator does, first understand what a “delta” is. Simply put, a delta is the difference between buy and sell volumes within a period/candle. The delta can be positive (buy volume is greater than sell volume), negative (buy volume is less than sell volume), or zero (buy volume is equal to sell volume).The Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicator is based on these deltas. It starts from a user specified origin bar and successively cumulate the deltas. If the CVD line is negative sloping that means more sellers are in action as the demand of the asset wanes. This is usually a sell signal and a trader should search for selling signals. Conversely, if the CVD line is positive sloping, it means that there is more demand for the asset."

Concerning Volume at Price (or market profile): "If the concentration of volume is at the bottom, then this is more likely to be buying volume rather than selling volume. Conversely, if the concentration of volume took place at the top of the bar rather than the bottom, then this is more likely to be selling volume. Volume at price reveals the the concentration of buying and selling at various price levels, which in turn gives us an alternative perspective, not only in terms of momentum, but also in terms of support and resistance. What can we deduce from this analysis? First we can see immediately which of these areas are likely to be significant in the future in terms of resistance and support.


"The preparation of an important move in the market takes considerable time. A large operator or investor acting singly cannot often, in a single day's session, buy 25,000 to 100,000 shares of stock without pushing the price up too much. Instead, he takes days, weeks or month in which to accumulate his line" - Richard Wyckoff

The current Zcash narrative is "the coin that never pumps". But with a very large POC/Value area at historically low price levels, OBV / CVD / volume on the rise-- I believe some large players have been accumulating very slowly and will soon start the mark up phase. Can it test lows again? Sure. If you want to be safe, wait for the breakout above massive VAP platform it's made ($112 would be considered a breakout). I think this coin has a potential to 5x at a minimum. 1 zec=7 btc
Comment:
$76 was acting as a point of big resistance. We've cleared it and I expect it to hold. My reservation right now is the supply at $115, it's providing as resistance as you can see on the chart by the green box and the grey box from months back (sept 2018). Ultimately, looking at the ZEC/XBT pair, and waiting for it to reclaim the resistance grey box is the safe bet, we want to make sure the zec/xbt pair has actually caught a bottom. yolo long with caution, personally I want to see it clear $115-$125 and reclaim the resistance to support on the zec/xbt pair before I put big bets on it


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