Dmitrii_Kachalov

XP. Brazilian brokerage leader.

Long
NASDAQ:XP   XP Inc.
XP Inc. is a Brazilian brokerage and dealer company. It is one of the seven largest companies in the country with a capitalization of $16.8B. It is the leading low-cost financial services company in Brazil. XP Inc. gives clients access to a wide range of financial products, including fixed income securities, mutual funds and hedge funds, pension plans and life insurance, generates a large amount of media content and develops technology solutions to support its cloud and mobile applications.

The Brazilian financial market is not very developed, most of it is made up of conservative banks with inefficient financial instruments. In such circumstances, the activities of XP Inc. can be called revolutionary on a national scale. At first glance, XP Inc. is at the peak of the current investment promotion trend.

➡️ The entire movement since March 2020 visually looks like an impulse and a correction to it. The structure of the initial growth is ambiguous, and the corrective movement in wave 2 (or B) is technically decomposed into a plane. In December 2021, the decline in wave {c} reached the level of $27.5, stopping at it with a slight flat. At the start of 2022, we saw a false breakout of this level and a return to the top with the update of the last peak (iv)of{c} and the potential for the end of the downtrend.

It is worth noting that in the area of the indicated level of $27.5 there are:

1️⃣ Corrective Fibo level 0.5 of wave 1.
2️⃣ Projection Fibo level 1.618 for wave {c}of2.
3️⃣ Strong volume zone $22-28 within the ascending wave 1.
4️⃣ The lower border of the descending pitchfork.

📌 Growth in January is like a expanding diagonal. I see a good opportunity to buy on a rollback to the area of $27-$29.

📈 If this movement is an ABC zigzag, as a minimum target for further growth, I note the maximum level of the stock at $52 - $53, which the price has already touched three times over the past years. If this is a start of a new impulse and we have leading waves 1-2 in front of us, then the adequate growth potential in wave 3 is at $90, but it may turn out to be noticeably higher - the following projection levels: $120, $142 and $190.

➖ In theory, wave {c} may become more complicated or my initial counting may not be confirmed, then the fall will continue. Cancellation of the current scenario when the price goes below $25.5.

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