dime

XLK bearish put spread

Short
AMEX:XLK   SPDR Select Sector Fund - Technology
BOT VERTICAL XLK 100 20 SEP 19 79/78 PUT @.23, .77 max profit.
Risk to reward ratio just under 1:3

Gives a breakeven price target of 78.77 which is 3.4% lower from the spot price at the time of trade.
Longed the 30 delta, shorted the 25 delta.
It's a lower probability trade with under 30% estimated probability.

Rationale:
XLK seems to be hugging the high side of the long term trend. It *could* continue to grind higher for the next month, or we could get another 'techwreck' during this earnings season.

IV is relatively low at the moment, so I bought a cheap bearish put spread. IV Rank is only 8%. The IV is 75% of the years HV.

AAPL and MSFT are the largest holdings.
Oddly enough Visa and Mastercard together make up 10% .
Next it's INTC, ADBE, ORCL , PYPL, and IBM which round out the top ten holding.




Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.