orangestar4aC

XBTUSD - Kraken - Falling Wedge

Long
orangestar4aC Updated   
KRAKEN:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Falling wedge, plus Bullish divergence. Possible breakout.

Possible good entries:
- Pennant breakout
- Pennant support
- Trend support

Target 1 - Red square
Target 2 - 2700 - 2720 range/25.05.2017 ATH reference

Mystery purple line - no idea if it will carry any sort of effect.

References:

www.babypips.com/learn/forex/wedges
www.investopedia.com...y/charts/charts7.asp
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wedge_pattern

THIS IS NOT A TRADING GUIDE. IF YOU TRADE BASED ON THIS CHART, GOOD LUCK!! I TAKE NO RESPONSIBILITY!!! THE OUTCOME IS ENTIRELY ON YOU!!!
Comment:
wrote "pennant" instead of "wedge" in description targets....
Trade active:
15min Chart

Horizontal resistance here, but the next candle is already forming outside of the wedge, plus MACD crossing up giving a buy signal.
Trade active:
15min Chart

Mystery line is resistance. However, I don't think it is/was a sell. 2520-2550 should be support, although 2520 might be tricky due to price bouncing quite a bit there earlier. Buying inside the green rectangle, but not adding to my long.
Comment:
Also, setting a stop at break even now.
Comment:
Nevermind. Will wait for higher price before moving stop higher.
Trade active:
1hour Chart

1st target reached. Leaving rest of the position open to keep profits coming. Now I'm setting my stop in profit zone. Will close after a convincing top, or if the stop is reached.
Comment:
1hour Chart

Buying in that green box if we revisit. But who knows, this might break resistance before everyone expects it.
Comment:
Also note last chart. Adjusted trend resistance so to include every wick from before the drop to the wedge. That would've given me a more accurate timing to sell at TP1.
Comment:

lol
Comment:
15min Chart

Bear divergence. But we know divergence can take a while to take effect. Maybe one more top, maybe this was the top. Temporarily speaking. I would be surprised if we don't see a new ATH in the following 1-2 weeks.
Trade closed: target reached:
Updating as "Close" because both targets were reached. However in reality I still have some of my position open. Took profit on the first target, but I think there's a high chance of seeing new ATH in August.
Comment:
August barely starting. New ATH is here.
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