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WFC - Bearish but Dividend Pending

Short
NYSE:WFC   Wells Fargo & Company
WFC is up about 10% over the last month and even more since Dec of last year, however the weekly price closed down last week, and is now down two weeks in a row. Several bearish indications are suggesting a pull-back in price. However WFC will issue a dividend payment to shareholders on March 1st which is supporting the current price. Overall the WFC price appears to be breaking down/out of a multi-week wedge. I see limited upside and near term downside due to QT effects and overall liquidity issues in the market, and more specifically for WFC due to the reasons listed below.

1. High volume resistance associated with a significant +12% sell-off week of Feb 5th 2018. That week WFC had closing price of $47.57 and a low of $47.35. WFC has tried and failed to move through this area for the last three weeks.

2. Significant sell off at/near current price occurred in early 2020 - associated with 'global liquidity issues' a few months before the COVID crash. Week of Jan 13, 2020 WFC's price dropped over 6% on significant volume, falling from $48.35 to $45.28 adding significant resistance at/near current price range.

3. Trendline resistance - Trendline drawn off Jan 2018 and Nov 2021 highs and other significant trendlines continue to cap current price. Further, mid-line regression trend resistance is in-play as measured off the Oct 2020 low.

4. Potential double top formation. A double top with a re-test of the recent Nov 22 highs is currently in play/occurring for WFC.

5. Bearish Volume Trends - Buyers appear to be exiting in mass on the weekly timeframe. Similar trend as seen in late 2022 and early 2023 when the WFC price dropped by over 20%.

Also of note - WFC was one of the stocks that dropped like a rock at the open on January 24th of this year and was "halted" with many trades being cancelled - not exactly sure what happened that day but I see it as a potential sign of things to come. Generally looking for WFC to move down during March 2023 after the $0.30 dividend payment on March 1st. NFA!







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