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Fed’s hawkish tilt, inventory drawdowns,OPEC production cuts

Short
FX:USOILSPOT   WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil Future SPOT
Fed’s hawkish tilt, U.S. dollar strength and inventory drawdowns shape crude oil prices; OPEC production cuts deepen market apprehensions.
Despite these challenges, the decline in oil prices was moderated by ongoing concerns over tight global supply as we head into Q4. Stock levels at Cushing, the WTI delivery point, have reached their lowest since July 2022. The sustained production cuts by OPEC+ also underpin these concerns.

Some experts anticipate that prices will remain stable in the near term, with potential operational minimums in tanks.

If OPEC+ continues its production cuts, inventory levels might hit unprecedented lows. Current projections indicate a supply deficit exceeding 2 million barrels per day for Q4, suggesting potential further strengthening in oil prices in the imminent future.

Given the ongoing global supply concerns and the predicted supply deficit for the coming quarter, the short-term outlook for oil prices appears bullish.

However, the interplay of the Fed’s monetary policy decisions and the global economic landscape necessitates vigilance among traders and investors since these actions could drive the greenback higher, pressuring demand for dollar-denominated crude oil.

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