alanposner
Short

Oil is rolling over and Loonie is consolidating

BATS:USO   UNITED STATES OIL FUND LP
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All the focus is rightly on the ECB tomorrow and whether they will begin buying bonds by the truck load or by the shovel load. A truck load will likely make the market happy at least in the short term whereas a shovel load will disappoint. Either way crude oil is moving lower and soon.
The market has been pricing in significant easing on the part of the US Federal Reserve and ECB but so far it hasn't happened. Perhaps the market thinks it has gone too far to fast in this recent retracement of the sell off from 5/1 to 6/28 and it needs to give back some of its gains considering the weak economic climate and the lack of an active stimulus.
Either way the Canadian Central Bank left rates at 1% today and the USD/CAD moved higher. they indicated in the statement they may move to raise borrowing costs in the future as concerns over inflation are still present. The consolidation from August 16th continues and should setup a reversal if price can close above $1.00 which seems very possible.

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