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Breakout or Fakeout. USD-CAD Top of Wedge Trade Setups

FOREXCOM:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
For a more detailed analysis, see my former post linked below which highlights many points of confluence for a bullish trend continuation.

Here however I want to focus on our current move as we are approaching a strong upper resistance level .

On our weekly chart, we're approaching a large resistance level in the top of a HTF wedge and the bottom of a large supply zone that's been mitigated twice.

We just created a major CHoCH to the upside and though I do believe the market wants to break out of this wedge, I think another liquidity grab is necessary for buyers - perhaps a mitigation of the demand zone sitting just below.

I'm looking for a return to 60% levels within the wedge and a subsequent large upward move for a successful breakout.

For a short trade:
Look for a rejection at these upper wedge levels and await a CHoCH & BOS to the downside on the 15min

For a long trade:

Look for a bounce off demand zone and and await LTF CHoCH & BOS



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