CassidyWaterhouS

DEM. Primaries/ Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren Bookmaker SURe Bet!

CassidyWaterhouS Updated   
AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
Off the wall fun bet out there for you with some political analysis! Have fun and earn money!

It's time to talk about the US Presidential Democratic Primaries, so I chose SPY as a symbol of the US to post under.

Here is the deal. Either Joe Biden OR Elizabeth Warren is going to be a nominee!

Looking at the polls, and, I can't stress it enough, AGGREGATE POLL, despite the obvious Biden's progressing dementia with his gaffs and increasing inability to speak properly, Biden is still ahead! And it does not matter where the other candidates are!

The ONLY other remotely viable candidate is Elizabeth Warren. Period.

Kamala Harris was always irrelevant, being further destroyed by Tulsi Gabbard, and the geriatric insane self-proclaimed Neo-socialist Bernie Sanders is out of question.

The DNC will NEVER nominate Sanders! Because he can't win. And because the Business Dems who control the DNC are scared as F%ck by his rhetoric.

The simplest criteria to judge by is: who is electable, in other words, who looks presidential?
Biden certainly does, as he was a vice president in the Obama era, one step from the highest office in the land.

Warren is somewhat like 2020 Clinton all over again, I got a vagina style a bit to the left Business Dem.

So These two are the only viable ones.

I'd simply bet on Biden, but, he is really old, old enough for it to be a problem. Can he run against Trump? Can he physically withstand the stress of the presidential race? Can he govern? I don't think so.

He might even drop out of the race entirely, due to the reasons above, which is the main reason we are betting on TWO contenders simultaneously!

NOW:

Biden's odds are 11/4
Elisabeth Warrens 2/1

Interestingly enough, the odds checker suggests that EW is already ahead of Biden! What a time to be alive!

So, we bet 1000 USD on Biden, get 3750 USD if this bet wins

AND

we bet 1875 USD on Warren, get 3750 if this bet wins

TOTAL BET 1000+1875=2875

TOTAL WIN NO MATTER WHICH ONE WINS = 3750

(3750-2875)/3750=33,5%

I gave the numbers above just as an example, you can calculate your own numbers, proportionately, according to the bet size you are comfortable with!

100% success chance with 33,5% income! Where else would you get that?

Next time, we'll talk about betting on Trump!








Comment:
ODDS might differ from bookmaker to bookmaker, I took the average ones!
Comment:
Guys, great news, I messed up with numbers, Lizzies bet with 2/1 gives us much more, so we can bet 1250 instead of 1875 and still get the same money!

So, total returns are now 3750-(1250+1000)=1500 USD

1500/2250=66%

EVEN GREATER OPPORTUNITY
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