EagleEyeAnalytics

Winners and Losers in NASDAQ's November Rally

NASDAQ:QQQ   Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Its been a poor year for American equity markets, and this is especially true for the tech-heavy NASDAQ exchange. For most of 2022, NASDAQ has been down double-digits, featuring a November 3rd bottom where the exchange was trading down nearly 40% YTD. That said, there has been some relief for tech watchers over the course of November as indications begin to emerge that the macroeconomic climate is shifting in a slightly more optimistic direction. Last week, Jerome Powell indicated a slowdown in rate hikes, with the next bump up to be 50 as opposed to 75 base points. A stabilization of the fluid situation in China, as well as initial signals that inflation is cooling down all contributed to a modest comeback for NASDAQ in recent weeks.

Directing our attention to the chart, I've taken a few of my blue chip tech holdings and measured their performance against the broader market trend. The big picture is that most of the companies are in the green over the past month--IBM, which was +8%, led the charge as this darling US computing stock continues a mult-month uptrend. The LVP of November was CRWD, which shed ~20% of its SP on November 30th following disappointing Q3 financials.

Mid-range gainers include RDWR (+5%), CHKP (+4%), INTC (+3%), and HUB.TA (+2%). One factor I cite as contributing to these gains is the US current prioritization of subsidizing the computing/cyber industry while it works to secure global supply lines and manufacturing hubs. US chip and cyber players, after a significant bout of Q2 volatility, are regaining their footing and beginning to witness gains. Another dark horse to keep an eye on is HUB.TA, which is in the final stages of a SPAC listing (RNER) for a likely Q1 '23 NASDAQ listing and simultaneous TASE delisting. Though I'm not holding onto much these days, PANW also had a very bullish November and is trading up some 15% from its YTD bottom on November 3rd.

In sum, despite the overall gloomy mood most equity investors have been in recently, there are still abundant opportunities for gains in the current NASDAQ/tech rally. Though I think we're yet to yet the bottom (eyes on Q1/2 '23), there are still bullish plays for the discerning trader. DYOR, this is not financial advice.

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