TheLeadingIndicator

Kinross Gold - 6:1 Long w/ Multiple Confluences

Long
BATS:KGC   Kinross Gold Corporation
The weekly KGC price chart looks juicy for swing traders and position players, or anyone in search of quicker gold-correlated returns than the metal itself offers (+/- 25%).

As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, and this forecast is no exception.

My trading tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION.

This chart was developed on the 1D frame and the entry was made on the hourly, and is here presented in the 1W version to accentuate the Trend Exhaustion Wedge w/in the Fib Space as fully as possible, albeit w/ some loss of detail.

In fact, I generally prefer to trade on lower timeframes, so I execute swing trades like this one directly via my bank, in lieu of a savings account (which is NOT financial advice, by the way). Furthermore, a tighter Stop Loss at $4.71 (instead of the $4.64 shown here) offers a 9:1 Risk-to-Reward ratio.

When it comes to most mining stocks, I tend to rely on pure price action based on tight line-work, with a minimum of indicators. Besides the obvious Harmonic W, a variety of patterns are on display here, including a descending Three Drives followed by an ascending version.

The profit and retracement targets are passively based on Fibonacci ratios, and dynamically based on the VWAPs anchored at the C-point of the harmonic pattern. A volume profile is also anchored there, although it will become less valuable over time on the 1D chart, and is already invisible on hourly charts.

One indicator worth noting, though, is the correlation histogram with First Majestic Silver; the periods of divergence should be especially interesting to lower timeframe prospectors. In fact, especially when I look at mining charts, I prefer to study their correlation either to the underlying asset or, better yet, to some other lesser-correlated asset in the same "genre".

I will discuss both Kinross Gold and First Majestic Silver in forthcoming videos and streams on strategic and/or monetary metals. This will give you an opportunity to see what these charts look like on lower timeframes, and to ask questions.

Until then, be liquid !!!

Adrian Dyer,
Chief Strategist and Impresario at The Leading Indicator
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