faridah_sanny

Midterm perspective for FCPO

Long
MYX:FCPO1!   Crude Palm Oil Futures
FCPO is probably preparing to trending higher in the future but I'm a bit CAUTIOUS because the price hasn't broken the important level yet (strong resistance) which is around 4500. Currently, the pattern which is unfolding is a ZigZag (thought to be). Assuming this assumption holds true, wave C should ends about the same length of wave A, around 5000 - 5200 levels. There're evidences which supports this assumption:

1. There are 5 waves in wave A
2. Fibo retracement level for wave B in a ZigZag is around 0.618 level
3. By EW rules for ZigZag, wave C should have 5 waves.
4. ZigZag price movement is contained within parallel channel - they tend to in most cases.

We're already seeing 5 waves unfolding in wave C but seems relatively short than assumed projection (5000 level). The only possible explanation is that wave (3) in wave C is an extension.

Disclaimer
This is NOT buy/ sell call but for learning purposes.

Comment:
It could also be that the whole 5 wave move in wave C is really just 1.
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