SirajHudda

EURUSD Bottom Picking..Close to Reversal..

Long
FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
EURUSD has been declining from several weeks now and every one was trying to pick a bottom for a bear rally. Well let me try my version on it. I have applied Elliott Wave from the top of the pattern and I see a 5 Wave decline which means this is just a first round of corrections i.e Wave A. Once Wave A is complete we will see a retracement of 50 to 61.8% of the complete down move which will be Wave B correction and it will be a corrective wave. Then we will have a minimum equal legs down move for Wave C where Where C = Wave A from Wave B.

Now coming to price targets as that is what all of us are interested in. I see an expanding triangle just completed in Wave 4 of Wave 5 which keeps us for one last down move which comes around 1.3137 when calculating the triangle thrust targets. Which is also at 38.2% fib of a long term monthly retracement. I would go long at 1.3140 with 50 pips stop and a potential target of 1.3450 as target 1 at 38.2% retracement of the down move.

There is also a bullish divergence.

Long @ 1.3140
StopLoss: 50 pips
Target: 1.3450 (310 pips)

This is just my analysis based on Elliott wave and Fibonacci analysis. Any feedback or comments are appreciated.

Happy Trading.!!

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