AlphaTradingGermany

EUR-USD 3.5% bullish outbreak and RSI divergence

Long
WHSELFINVEST:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
I'm trying to catch a 3.5% reversal right here. RRR (RISK REWARD RATIO IS APPROX 25 TO 1)

The current general trend is bullish, and my system reveiled a chance to catch a bullish move, as I prefer to trade the long side in bullish main trends.

My entry is based on both, my h13 timeframe analysis, and my h2 timeframe analysis for confirmation.

I'm posting this a few minutes delayed, because it took me some time to prepare a version that i may share with the public (due to disclosure issues).


In order to make you guys pick up on what I'm trying to do, I drew this trend channel, which I am expecting to catch the falling price and initiate the reversal. I waited for the price to hit my lower " 2h 50%" target, and I am expecting it to reverse towards the upper "2h 50%" target - at least.


I mentioned the "h2 50%" as a confirmation for my "13h analysis".


As you can see, the 50% targets overlap each other (just like my 13h and 2h channels) and they're basically on the same level, which increases the chances of this reversal to be successful - until said point. Since the 13h analysis gave me a reversal-signal, it may actually happen to happen that we see a full 13h reversal which would result in hunting the following 50%, 100% or even 125% levels:


Furthermore I spotted this RSI-divergence in the h13 timeframe, which i generally use in order to apply any of William Delbert Gann's methods of analysis, and generally in order to confirm my system's entries - just like this one.


looking forward to updating you on this one. Be careful out there!
Comment:
*UPDATE*:

held the position over the weekend (swap fees/lot/day)
position didn't get stopped out on opening
moving stop loss (SL) on breakeven (BE)
closed 10% of the position on friday in order to compensate a potential SL-loss on monday, and in order to make up for the fees.

conclusion:
90% position size remaining
trade is risk free
Comment:
*UPDATE*


timeframe: m5

probably the last chance for this trade to make a decision, and get away from the entry area.
Comment:
*UPDATE*

I have extended my stop loss by the remaining profit from the partial take profit from friday. So the trade is on a net break even now.


I am now opening a second position, based on this channel, and the support it found. Entered in the 60s and 15s TMF (timeframe).

*WARNING: I AM HEDGED ON EUR/USD; Meaning i have a profitable SHORT position already, and I am net short on EUR/USD. My long entries are RISK FREE!!!*

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