ValerioLauri

rising wedge, plateau ........another rising wedge?

Long
TVC:DJI   Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
I'm not a market expert, just a beginner but I tried to compare this crisis with previous ones and the fall we had in march 2020 is more similar to 2008/2009 and 2019 ones rather than the 29'.

The situation is different: in 29', the global market collapsed for other much bigger systemic reason. Now stock market has fallen because of 3 months lockdown; the financial and banking sectors are relatively healthy and consumers are high.
I don't think it's a good compare with the big crisis.

So, analysing the chart, I see a rising wedge within 4 Elliots waves: 2 impulsive and 2 correctives, followed by a falling flag or plateau ( I see Elliot waves within the flag too but I didn't design them because they may result too small to distinguish).
I guess we should expect in September the usual seasonal stock market rise, maybe slower than during the latest 4 months.

Feel free to leave your opinion about,

Cheers,
V.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.