entertheroach

BTC/USD - Is it a Rising Wedge or a Falling Wedge?

entertheroach Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Quick BTC/USD 1 week chart update:

BTC is in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern.

BTC is also in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern.

At the moment of typing this, BTC is still back above its 200MA on this 1 week timeframe.

At the moment of typing this, BTC is still way below its 50MA on this 1 week timeframe.

At the moment of typing this, BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. Note that the Upper Band is curving downwards and the Lower Band is starting to curve around slightly.

At the moment of typing this, BTC is still back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe.

BTC is still in its Descending Pitchfork Pattern above the Median Line and back above its Upper Green Resistance/Support line.

It will probably be some time before we see BTC back above the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone and back in the Bullish Zone on this 1 week timeframe but that doesn't mean profit cannot be made while the Price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Equilibrium Zone, that is why it's always best to check multiple timeframes for any potential breakouts on those.

Looking at the Average Directional Index Indicator (ADX DI), we can see that Negative Momentum has continued to drop with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 31.45. Positive Momentum has dropped slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 15.01. The Trend Strength has increased with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.18 note it is still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 28.89.


Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line but it has risen sharply with Red Histograms decreasing in size and it looks like we could soon see the MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Buy Signal on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 10th Jan 2022.


For the mid to longterm upside, be on the lookout for a successful weekly close above the 28.60% ($24,314) Fib Re-tracement level and any successful re-test as strong support.

For the mid to longterm downside, be on the lookout for a weekly close back under the LSMA and 200MA with any successful re-test as strong resistance.

So a Rising Wedge or a Falling Wedge? Which will it be?……. only time will tell.


I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.


Notes:
200MA = Red Line on chart
50MA = Yellow Line on chart
LSMA = Cyan Line on chart
Comment:
Taking another look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has finally crossed back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a new Green Histogram since the week of 11th April 2022.


Taking a closer look at this 1 week BTC/USD chart, we can see that BTC has found some resistance from its 23.60% Fib Retracement level at $24,314. Look for a successful weekly close above this level with any successful re-test as support.



Note: There is a Typo above, it should say 23.60% not 28.60%.
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