kumarz

Bitcoin:looking for top b4 last leg down

Short
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
4
The move down(pink) from 475 was so violent that it broke all supports: so I think the move back up(blue) from 370 is corrective and can never resume the move up from 275 without a test/break of 275 first.

Also, because the decline(green B) from 410 retraced more than 50% of the rise(green A) from 275, the whole move up(green) from 275 looks like a corrective rather than an impulsive up wave. So I'm labelling this A-B-C, and expecting a major move down to below that level(275) or lower(before MoonCruise heheh).

However, I don't see anything in the down moves thus far since the bottom at 370(pink) to suggest they're anything near a 1/i wave: indicating we're still correcting up. question is where to expect that top, and I reckon its too risky to put money on such a top call. I think its safer to wait for a major 1/i move down, and then accumulate shorts while that corrects(2/ii move up). Then sit out wave 5/v because the Moon-bound move up will be violent.

Anyway, I'm so bearish medium term that I'd only go bullish(and join the MoonShuttle) if the current rise goes beyond 480-500ish. Gradually building shorts at key points, will see what happens: this could get expensive :p
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.