BTC Bitcoin Elliott Wave Probable/Possible Macro Count 1D

Blue count I think is the most probable, we are in a Leading Diagonal Wave (1), either a completed Wave 3 at the 1.0 extension 47k or it completes at the 1.272 52k, either way short term we should be seeing a bounce, 4H RSI divergence.
Red count is also possible but I think not probable, this count suggest we are still in a Primary Wave 4 and we should be seeing 30k.