Whytek

BTCUSD: Road to 50k?

Long
INDEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
The BTCUSD price has just completed wave 2 and is on course for a fine wave 3 (broken down into 5 orange sub-waves here), supported by a bullish divergence and the break above the weekly Ichimoku cloud.

  • Wave i could continue its ascent before hitting resistance at 32k.
  • Wave ii would then retrace 50% of wave i to bounce off the 2021 double-top support.
  • Wave iii (= 161.8% of wave i) would end at the 40k resistance, before bouncing back to this ascending trendline in blue as a wave iv, retracing 38.2% of wave iii.
  • Finally, wave v is still the most complicated to anticipate, but the 123.6% retracement of wave iv seems to be in line with the assumption that wave 3 will extend wave 1 by a ratio of 1.618:1.


Fundamentally, the current tense macroeconomic environment remains a danger for the BTC price. Not to mention the dollar rate, which could continue to rise in the event of a further rate hike at the next Fed meetings, particularly those on December 13th and January 31st.
To be continued...

Don't hesitate to comment. I'm open to new ideas, especially as the fractal plan always offers many different scenarios.
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