Background:
BNB has confirmed a swing failure pattern (SFP)/deviation above the range building since 20 Jan'22. High volumes marked in red arrows to reinforce the boundary while fading volumes in green arrow to support lower boundary of a smaller 6 day local range. RSI just confirmed rejection off underside of 50. Confirming below $407 would confirm an H&S pattern with a target around ~$375. Risk reward for market shorting a breakout is not ideal with tight stop-losses failing in this choppy market.
Strategy:
Wait to see if price confirms S/R flip on $407 to enter short. First target the H&S target ~$375, second target lower boundary of range ~$361, third target start of D3 demand zone confluence with macro 0.5 fib line at ~$355. SL above 6 day local range mid at $420.30, confluence around POC and meme price. Keeping an eye on SFP at lower range boundary to enter long if price doesn't confirm breach below D3 demand.
Invalidations:
Confirming another SFP at upper range boundary would not invalidate this scenario in itself unless there is a show of weakness on resistance. Price breaking above ~$480 and I scrap this plan entirely
BNB has confirmed a swing failure pattern (SFP)/deviation above the range building since 20 Jan'22. High volumes marked in red arrows to reinforce the boundary while fading volumes in green arrow to support lower boundary of a smaller 6 day local range. RSI just confirmed rejection off underside of 50. Confirming below $407 would confirm an H&S pattern with a target around ~$375. Risk reward for market shorting a breakout is not ideal with tight stop-losses failing in this choppy market.
Strategy:
Wait to see if price confirms S/R flip on $407 to enter short. First target the H&S target ~$375, second target lower boundary of range ~$361, third target start of D3 demand zone confluence with macro 0.5 fib line at ~$355. SL above 6 day local range mid at $420.30, confluence around POC and meme price. Keeping an eye on SFP at lower range boundary to enter long if price doesn't confirm breach below D3 demand.
Invalidations:
Confirming another SFP at upper range boundary would not invalidate this scenario in itself unless there is a show of weakness on resistance. Price breaking above ~$480 and I scrap this plan entirely