AlphaBeta

AMAT (D1) - New ATH + Inverse H&S Pattern Breakout

Long
NASDAQ:AMAT   Applied Materials, Inc.
AMAT reached a new (intraday) ATH after breaking above the inverse H&S neckline on 3/24. Yesterday, 3/25, the Inverse H&S neckline resistance now turned support held, and price subsequently bounced convincingly to the upside. Inverse H&S pattern target is around $137.70 with a stop around $114.08, which when the long position was entered during yesterday evening's after-hours extended session, resulted in a Reward-to-Risk ratio of over 3:1. Aside from the immediate long trade, the fundamental outlook for AMAT (in my humble non-advisory & non-licensed opinion) is positive in terms of the intermediate to longer time horizon. Based upon AMAT's 2022 earnings estimates, the stock remains relatively cheap, especially compared to its peers. As such, while I will take SOME profits just below the $137.70 pattern target, I plan on holding AMAT for quite a while longer (assuming no material change in the underlying fundamental backdrop) as a core position although I will most likely continue to take profits at various technical levels and subsequently reloading on technical pullbacks.

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