SWFguy

SWFguy

Natural gas bounced from a low of $1.95/MMBTU, where almost all producers lose money. Since natural gas and crude oil are near or below breakeven levels, producers are reducing their drilling rate - likely lowering production levels given the lack of capacity. The negative shift in weather, falling rig count, and potential export boost from Freeport may push...

SWFguy

Long Term Bull run is intct, thougfh short term the wave cycle can still take it to sub 1900 levels. Wait for the big signal to go Long. Resistances Galore at teh current levels.

SWFguy

Jan 23 Prices Model M: USD 66,000 Mar 23 Prices Model M: USD 42,000 Drop of 30%, but sales increased by only 5%. The EPS Estimates for March earnings per share is $0.85, a drop of 32%: that means price cuts directly ate into the bottomline. The March '23 EPS would be its Biggest Drop in years. Is that the reason of the ill timed price rise after a day of the...

SWFguy

EPS at all time High, Stock waiting to catch up. The intrinsic value of one JPM stock under the base case scenario is 185.05 USD. Compared to the current market price of 141.7 USD, JPMorgan Chase & Co is undervalued by 23%.

SWFguy

EPS: $1.88 vs. $1.94 estimated, down 10.9% year over year Revenue: $117.15 billion vs. $121.10 billion estimated, down 5.49% year over year iPhone revenue: $65.78 billion vs. $68.29 billion estimated, down 8.17% year over year Mac revenue: $7.74 billion vs. $9.63 billion estimated, down 28.66% year over year iPad revenue: $9.4 billion vs. $7.76 billion...

SWFguy

Technical: Head & Shoulder Complete Retest at $217 (Feb 23 complete) Next likely Support , Channel lower band $75 Fundamental : Mcap = 570bn TTM earnings: 3.3/2.2/3.3/3.7=$12.5bn PER = 46 No Free Money. Tech melting.

SWFguy

Sales FY 23 Exp 6000 CR Market Cap: 40,000 cr Lost 16,000 since listing. Why are people so Naive!! target Rs 380, in 3 months !!

SWFguy Updated 

1) Losing Market Share in Android phones 2) Slump in the semiconductor unit c) Like China, Korea is going experimenting with Socialism d) Valuations are not attractive e) Out of the risning channel last June (2022) & now moving in the the red downward channel. Doesnt bode well for MSCI EM either as its made up of 3.5% Samsung

SWFguy

Dollar and EM markets. A non Brainer with 1:1 correlation. The DXY (black line) is inverted to show the coorelation with EM. Strenthening Dollar means weaker EM and vice versa. Soince with rate ris eback inti the limelight, the DXY should rally an dEM would be under pressure. The weakness of Chines Equity markets which makes up 31% of MSCI EM would also be a factor.

SWFguy

Mcap 45,000 Cr Road to Profitability : Never Dont get fooled by the Q3 profit numbers in the light of crashing share prices by the few of these charlatans. Already down 50% from teh listing date. DoorDash, teh US listed entity in food delivery is down 80% from $250 to $60. Order food here till they close down but stay away from the scam.

SWFguy

Emerging markets equities had to clear many hurdles in 2022 but began to recover in the fourth quarter. But technically, there are hurdles, The Red sloping line of 2021 is the prime example. After the steep drop in equity markets overall in 2022, It is believed that emerging markets equities may be one of the most mispriced asset classes, with attractive...

SWFguy

China: Morgan Stanley scenario: Chinese stock indexes could plunge by another 20% from current levels over the next six to 12 months — and potentially remain lower for much longer if the hypothetical stress scenario persists. China’s GDP could slow drastically, averaging 2% growth in 2023. More than 11 million people could lose their jobs, likely sending the...

SWFguy

48 PER broken the 14 year trend lchannel also the lower sloping 3 year ( red Channel)

SWFguy

The SuperBowl day news sums it up. "A manager of 95 Phoenix Airbnbs is stunned that half his homes are empty over Super Bowl weekend. Is it the latest Airbnbust?" 14th Feb is the earnings day. Mcap 70 bn Looks Very weak.

SWFguy

Quite a corelation GAIL ( black) & Natural Gas Futures (Red) And since its a single product company, the coorelation is no rocket science. Once done on a yoy PCH change the chart becomes very intuitive.

SWFguy

Great Run for the retailer of the world. The trensdline support at $85 is crucial. most likley it will stay within the guard rails of the 25 years. Though the momentum indicators are very weak. Might be it will just laze around the current levels.

SWFguy

The quarterly numbers are bad. December quarter is also expecetd to be a loss.

SWFguy

Gold in INR terms touched an all time high this month. The chart patters indicate that an explosive move is going to play out. Cup & Handle also points to a Year end target of Rs 61,000.