For the time being I have no reason to be optimistic regarding DAX. I think it may complete the simple correction, getting to the resistance cluster and will continue down the hill.
I have drown numerous resistance levels for USDJPY so far - out of which none worked. I also lost a good number of stop losses - what should make me turn around and walk away from this pair long ago... But let me do this one more time. You think it will respect the technical resistance or will it ignore the level again?
I have absolutely no idea when JPY is going to revert....
Looks like the market at least sees the support (bottom of the uptrend channel + Butterfly D-point).
DAX is at W1 FR(0.50) level, what may be a significant support. Looking at traders sentiment, it is rather 50/50, but at least for today/tomorrow the next short term support may occur at H1 FR(0.786) - which is the D-point of Gartley pattern.
Oil reached the resistance cluster at downturn channel boarder + FR 0.50 + Butterfly pattern
DAX at support on the way down, potentially creating the But harmonic pattern (0.5 to 0.886)
Seems like Ozzie got to the support cluster, howevel no traces of exhaustion visible
Looks like we the third impulse of stock market contraction will take some time till May 2023 - more less.
Technical analysis is just drawing lines on the chart. I always wander why on earth they should work, when they are the fundamentals that actually drive decisions... Well... somehow those lines are sometimes respected. So, from a technical analysis perspective it seems to me that we could come back to bull market early next year. It would still be one of the...
Price getting inside resistance cluster = Overbalance + ABC.
Price reached the important resistance. Now the market will need to decide whether continue the rally or respect it and come back to the main trend.
The price at resistance - cluster of the downturn channel + FR 0.618 + FR 0.382 - together with not very optimistic data from jobless claims it may finish the oktoberfest...
Price just reacted to the significant support. Obviously a lot depends on the FEB decisions on the rates - and those may indicate rather continuation of the USD rally - but I think it is worth to be noticed.
JPY may return to bearish mood after hitting the level at 129. At least i hope so, still holding the short position.
Since EFR 1.618 is neglected already, I thing the next possible correction may occur from $80 at FR 0.786.
Seems to me that large ABC correction (D1) is feasible - as shown on the chart. It correlates with similar action on EURUSD, what makes it more probable. Yet fundamentals show that long term the USD will probably get even stronger if FED actually rise the rates.
Lookas like Bullish Gartley is creating on NatGas. Potentially early Sept will be a good time to look for a LONG position.