It look like Crude has just completed a Ending Diagonal and also broken the upper trendline. If this is an Ending Diagonal then we can expect Crude to make new highs from here on. SL : Below 46.40 Target : Last Swing high It looks like a good long opportunity from a Risk to Reward perspective, I will update as this market continues.
In my last article I suggested the possible up progression in DAX, but from the current Price Action it seems that we have one leg down remaining as Wave 5, only after this down leg completes will we have a completed Zig Zag and can expect some upward progression after that as previously suggested.
It looks like NMDC has just completed a 5 legged up move with the Wave 5 being an Ending Diagonal. Currently it looks like the market is moving down in a Zig Zag corrective structure and can see atleast one more leg down. It should be noted that I do not track this instrument and this is my first look at it.
After completing Wave 3, it seems that Crude Oil is stuck in a sideways movement as of now which looks most likely as a Triangle. A break above 48.35 or 49.93 would say that things are otherwise. Overall I expect one leg up after the completion of this pattern for Wave 5. I will update further as this market progresses.
It looks like DAX 30 (German Index) has just completed an A-B-C corrective Wave 4 (The circled Blue Wave iv) and hence we can expect good upside in the coming sessions. From an alternate perspective it is also possible that the Wave iv of Wave (c) is still continuing as a Triangle or some other corrective structure, hence it would be best to look for longs only...
Previously I was considering that the up move from 42 levels was a Wave 4 and that we still had a leg down remaining, however it clearly was not the case as that count was invalidated today. The count published in this post is the most likely scenario for WTI Crude Oil. As per this count we are in an impulsive move from the 42 levels and currently in Wave iii of...
In the last video report that I published on Youtube when Gold was trading around 1242 I discussed 2 high probability counts, both of which were pointing down. As of now Gold has moved down below 1220 and is moving just as expected. I think that the count that is playing out right now is the Double Zig Zag one as posted here. T1 : 1223 (Already Achieved) T2 :...
In one of the previous articles and last youtube video I pointed out that Gold will most likely give one leg down for the Wave 5 after which I expect the upward rally to begin. As of now it looks like it is moving down in that Wave 5 and can see downwards levels around 1215. Invalidation Level : 1194. I will update further as this market progresses.
After the 1240 low it seems that Gold has already completed the first Impulse and is currently in a Flat Correction to complete the Wave 2. This pattern is to be analyzed closely as after the completion of Wave 2 there will be a very good trading opportunity, given that this count plays out as expected. A break directly above the R1 level from here will mean...
Surprisingly after hitting the Invalidation mark Gold is moving up as previously expected. Currently I'm out of the market and waiting for confirmation but this is indeed a very interesting situation. Theoretically Wave 3 can not be the shortest, in this case it is shortest by 2-3 ticks, it seems that this small difference is being ignored by the market given the...
As such the movement after the Wave (2) has been a bit too impulsive which basically points to the probability that it is not a Wave C but a Wave 3, hence I think that this count should be considered the high probability count. I will update further as this market progresses.
Basically Elliott Wave rules state that the market moves in a series of 5 and 3 Waves. Here we are going to take a look at the basic 5 Wave structure and general fibonacci rations that come into play with these Waves. As you can see in the main picture that we have a 5 Wave down movement which has all the ideal fibonacci ratios.
Following on with the Bearish Count it looks like we are still continuing down with the Wave 3 (Circled). It looks like the lower trendline will be broken as this Wave 3 down continues. I will update further as this market progresses.
The previously mentioned invalidation mark has been touched hence I exited my position and took another look as to what might be going on this Gold chart. It seems that the double bracketed Wave 3 is still going down which only means that this correction will continue down a little longer then previously expected. It can see the 1232 levels which is the 78.6%...
Gold seems to have reversed near the earlier mentioned invalidation level around 1241.50 . As of now it seems to be moving for a Wave 2 retracement near the red support region. SL is still to be kept at Invalidation level. I will update further as this market progresses.
As of now I'm considering the Bearish count in Crude Oil as it seems to be the one being followed. It seems that we are moving up to complete the circled Wave 4 around the 45.70 level and then down for the 5th, it is possible that I might have to make a change in degree of progression but that does not affect the trading plan. I will update further as this market...
Gold looking to make the bullish move from here on, I earlier thought that the Wave C will progress as an Ending Diagonal however it has already moved into the target zone white box. Also since the Wave 3 of C is smaller then Wave 1, hence the Wave 5 can not go beyond 1241.50 else this count will be invalidated. I expect a turn from here on leading to new yearly highs.
It looks like the circled Wave 4 is finally complete and that SPX will make new highs, technically most immediate target of 2480 should be achieved as per this analysis, however from a psychological standpoint I expect it to atleast touch the 2500 mark. Let's see how it transpires.