Linneaus

Linneaus

2 day Time frame update of Quarterly DXY chart below.... DXY shown here with macro harmonics, contrasted with historic Fed Funds rate. Arrows indicate BTC cycle lows put in well below prior DXY peaks, and serves a small dose of balancing hopium in an otherwise bearish market. Fractal is taken loosely from the circled areas, with the suggested path involving...

Linneaus

Speculative correction termination concept with 12k area as target which lines up well with prior posted regression analysis and macro shark harmonic PRZ. Blue line is 200 Weekly EMA. Circled regions emphasize recent bear market rallies. Looking for a rally in October towards the 200 weekly EMA at 26500 area, sharp correction towards Thanksgiving weekend nov 26,...

Linneaus

A quick study/overview of hash rate drops and price drops revealing 25%-35% average hash rate drops involved in BTC noteworthy drops

Linneaus

Identical chart as below, but with VIX in the main panel instead of UVXY

Linneaus

Short sale Volume seen spiking on UVXY. Data releases today from Chicago Fed showing Economic activity Index slowdown: actual 0 versus consesnus 0.24, prior 0.29; and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index miss: -17.2 versus consensus -5 and prior -12.9. Dow Jones Industrial Average made yearly lows late last week and again today as it lingers at low 29K. Nasdaq and...

Linneaus

Chart Shows quarterly DXY and Fed Fund rate, with macro shark harmonic. Terminal PRZ of T1 at 117, t2 125 region with t3 at 136-38. Would be nice to see consolidation at 115-116 back to 106-8 area as other nations begin intervention. As of this hour, GBP halted trading trading as it collapsed 3.25% ***harmonics are not a predictive tool, they are a phenomenon of...

Linneaus

Alternative perspective, Bull case: BTC established cycle lows in 2015 and 2018 before DXY peaked and in tightening FED environments as pointed out in this chart. Worth noting there is certainly yet a case to be made for the macro lows for BTC being already in at mid 17k. One thing that seems to characterize cycle lows in BTC, is the mass calls for still another...

Linneaus

Ostensibly SSE in a macro triangle formation. In this scenario we typically find peaks at 786 relationship of one another, At times we find the last leg falls shy of the 786. ** Please not the idea conveys only a potential pattern and how it may complete, and is not intended as a projection of future price action which relies on many factors that patterns and...

Linneaus

DXY shown here with macro harmonics, contrasted with historic Fed Funds rate and US PMIs. Fractal is taken loosesly for the circled areas, with the suggested path involving consolidation in the 115- 105 range. Hypothesis: as developed nations step in to intervene to prop up their currencies, by tightening (central bank rate hikes like we are seeing from BOE...

Linneaus

BOJ intervened for the first time since 1998, to prop up it's the YEN, with some speculation they likely sold a lot of their massive reserves of long end (10-30 year) US T Bills to buy back the Yen. This hypothesis appears supported by the lack of short end yield movement at 4-5a, EST at time of BOJ intervention announcement late last week. Of note in this chart...

Linneaus Updated 

Chart shows historical price of Bitcoin adjusted against both the Global Commodity Price Index and M2SL, and may serve as a visual aid to illustrate Bitcoin price adjusted for rise in commodity prices while taking into account increase in money supply. This chart therefore accentuates and magnifies the recent downturn by taking into account both rising commodity...

Linneaus

Looking at price retracements from prior cycle ATH's to ATL's we find bitcoin retracing slightly less each time. Regressing the sequence yields about 82.6% from Bitcoin's 69k cycle ATH, putting the projected cycle low in the 12 K area. Red channel is a potential channel formation to watch for. Arrows serve as a visual aid of waning trend momentum cycle over cycle.

Linneaus

A macro view of VIX versus US Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI's with a visual aid for base time cycles. Taking note without special emphasis of the 200 Week EMA of the VIX, which may be utilized as a confirming indicator a period of continued elevated volatility. Chart is intended as a simple visual aid for contraction and expansion periods in the US economy.