


CME session update. 115 000$ partially closed just closed right before the price drop — someone had a piece of their options portfolio at 115,000 strike level already squared away. Safe to say it was an experienced player who got out near the top 💡 The good news: "he" still have about 2/3 of the portfolio open at that 115K strike. The bad news: nothing’s...
Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise. And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit. Let me break it down for you… --- We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit,...
For those watching or trading the USD/JPY pair: the spread of 0.007–0.0072 on the Yen futures is still in play We're 30 days out from expiry, and there are no clear reasons to brake a rally in the futures contract (which would mean a drop in USD/JPY). Now, a quick word on Expected Range (ER) and its boundaries. As we’ve seen, price didn’t quite reach the 2 ER...
As many of my loyal followers know, my analysis toolkit goes beyond just the standard fare of CME options data and COT reports. I dive deeper, utilizing additional filters like the average long and short positions of retail traders. These insights are publicly available, and while I won’t name specific sources to avoid any hint of hidden promotion, I’ll give you a...
A few thoughts on the results of the analysis of Friday's stock exchange reports on the euro/dollar pair We noticed a portfolio that has entered the market with a target of 1.185, and only have 12 days until expiration. With the current volatility at 10.23, the future price at expiration is expected to be in the range of 1.0993 to 1.1849 — a 95% probability....
🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations? What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence? Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game:...
🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations? What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence? Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game:...
🚀 Hey Traders! Have You Ever Felt Lost in the Chaos of Market Fluctuations? What if I told you there’s a powerful tool that can help you cut through the noise and give you a statistical edge to predict SUPPORT and RESISTANCE movements with confidence? Let me take 5 minutes of your time to introduce you to something that could transform your trading game:...
During the recent short trading week, we did not observe significant changes in the portfolios of major players. No outflows or overbought conditions—this indicates that the targets remain unchanged, and we are getting closer to the 0.0072 mark. 📊 I recall how, back in mid-December of last year, we noticed the first signs of volume accumulation in the portfolio....
There’s an old saying in trading: “Follow the smart money.” But how do you know where the smart money is going? The answer lies not in guesswork but in data—specifically, the kind of institutional-grade data that most retail traders overlook. If you’re serious about understanding market dynamics, it’s time to dive into the world of **COT (Commitment of Traders)...
Sugar isn’t just the sweet powder we add to coffee. It’s a global commodity whose price swings reveal surprising truths about the world economy. With sugar prices now hovering near the 17.5–17.7 per pound support level for the sixth time since 2022, it’s time to ask: What story are these numbers telling us? Sugar’s History: Peaks and Valleys Sugar has always...
Have you ever found yourself wondering how to make sense of fluctuating quotes? What if I told you that the powerful key lies in understanding the power of expected range volatility? Ready? Let me 5 min to introduce you how understanding expected range volatility can give you the edge you need to succeed. The expected range volatility (ER) provides a...
Yesterday, as markets slept, a shadow flickered across Platinum’s charts. Portfolios materialized like cryptic clues—hours before prices erupted in a 3% vertical rally. But here’s the twist: the official CME report won’t land until tomorrow. By the time most traders react, the first wave will already be history. The Setup: Why This Move Matters 1️⃣ "The...
Hello, friends! I’m excited to share some observations on Silver. Yesterday, I came across a couple of intriguing portfolios focused on this metal. The first one is an aggressive call spread at $40-$40.25, while the second portfolio is a "butterfly" spread, positioned slightly lower. Both portfolios are designed to capitalize on price movement, but the first...
Imagine standing on the edge of a cliff, peering down at a raging river below. That’s the feeling traders experience as the options expiration date approaches. At this moment, all bets are off, and the market is primed for sharp movements. Have you ever wondered how to turn this uncertainty into an advantage? Let’s break it down. The ETH market is buzzing with...
Unfortunately, no secret day of the week has been found for the Euro!☹️ Hello, on a day off you can take your mind off trading and do important things like analyzing and looking for patterns. Today I would like to present the result of a statistical test for statistically significant relationship between the day of the week and the price movement from the...
Gold: 🌟 The entire past week saw a positive trend in gold trading, characterized by a continuous accumulation of vertical call spreads targeting $2925-$2950. On Friday, higher targets around $2990-$3000 were added, with expiration in August of this year. The sentiment remains positive. However, volatility increased last week and remains at a relatively high...
Hello, fellow traders! I hope you’re all doing well. Today, we want to share some insights and observations from the past week that might help you navigate the markets. Euro/Dollar: We’re seeing some outflows in put options with a strike price of $1.05, which are already in the money and have intrinsic value. Additionally, there’s been a resale of put options at...