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Short on time, see you guys in class.
3620-3640 is what i would consider 'balance'. Anything in that area I think is just noise. I would expect this balance to resolve itself to the buy side, and eventually try to break towards 3650.
"Be fearful when others are greedy" - Warren Buffet. More applicable now than ever ! I've looked at the put/ call ratio as well as VIX which reflect extreme greed and a broken market. This type of euphoria that "stocks can never go down" is only a belief of dumb money and a strong indication of a top.
Horrendous relative volume overnight, likely a slow today. I still think you're on the right side of it if you're long, so it's all about making the reward for risk work for your plan on your timeframe.
Market not doing a whole lot as VIX continue to take a beating. This is good for the longs, and indicates more mean reversion, likely in the direction of this overall trend (up on my timeframe).
Small update on the VIX COT status. - Educational purposes only! - Trade at your own risk! - Main language - Russian - Pleae drop your questions in chat and I´ll try to reply during the day.
We attempt to showcase a framework for viewing volatility, categorizing volatility regimes and tying it into broad exposure in all risk assets.
Lesson for today is to have a plan on pullbacks. I heard many people yesterday jumping in on the shorts with no plan on what happens when the market pulls back. Have a plan, otherwise you will find yourself making poor, emotional based decisions, when the market starts to pullback.
Still long, sat through that flushout. Needs to get through here to push back into 3450. Now it's clearly accepting lower prices and that is not a good sign for the buyers.
Same story, haven't done anything to this trade, as it continues to just slosh around in this area. Same target area (3500) same stop area (below 3400) as we continue to wait to see what happens with the stimulus bill #2.
I think longs are wrong below 3295
Voici l'analyse technique de la semaine
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We talked about our 1st death via 100 cuts (our May Entry into VIX Options) OUCH. We knew this was a game of patience and timing. Upon releasing our video last week, the entry was ripe... Today, after a major spike in FOMO equities (Think: Tesla up 200 points...then down 300) we got the breakout we wanted. THE VIX: DO OR DIE MOMENT. We cover the: fundamental...
We talked about our 1st death via 100 cuts (our May Entry into VIX Options) OUCH. We knew this was a game of patience and timing. Upon releasing our video last week, the entry was ripe... Today, after a major spike in FOMO equities (Think: Tesla up 200 points...then down 300) we got the breakout we wanted. THE VIX: DO OR DIE MOMENT. We cover the: ...
We were early on our VIX call back in May. In essence, being too early is = being wrong. We come back at the VIX with a fully-loaded trade plan. The fundamentals line up and we cover them. The technicals line up and we chart them. Assymetrical? check. Thorough? check. Logical? check. Oh, earnings season...will you please speak truth to dem der bulls?
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