higher prob that move from mid March 2020 to Apr of 2022 was a reactionary wave to the bear move of June 2008 to March of 2020.
I was expect to see a flat correction to this zigzag
MOS Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 15% MOS, 85% Cash. *Putin continues his quest to annex all of Eastern Ukraine and has now concentrated attacks in Lysychans'k which is one of the last Ukrainian strongholds in Luhansk (the fall of this city will all but guarantee that Eastern Ukraine belongs to Russia). President Biden announced today the US...
MOS Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 10% MOS, 90% Cash. * Bad Vlad and Russian fertilizer producers are the top benefiters of fertilizer prices testing ATHs set during the previous recession in 2008 (yes I just implied that we are currently in a recession, it will become clearer soon with increased layoffs and earnings downturns). Grain, oil and...
Price is below the neckline.
Price has not broken the bottom trendline of a bearish Rising wedge that can create a supply overhang in that area. A Rising Wedge pattern is not valid unless that bottom trendline is broken.
No recommendation.
Short interest is 3%.
Red Marubozu candle today with both ends shaven.
Mosaic beautiful textbook stage analysis chart. Went into into Stage 2 and ripped from 15-20 zone to a high of 79.28.
Was this the "climatic top" and now going into distribution and stage 3 ?
As of now, MOS is barely hanging on to 30 week MA and flashing warning signs. Technically it may still see more upside and continue to new highs, however now trading...
the description is in the chart, stop loss below 43 invalidates this count. If the stop loss is broken I would expect this chart to see a longer term bear trend like the rest of the global economy
Making assumptions that price may recover due to this bounce above (orange dotted line) leading to a breakout within this expanding green structure
The dashed white line goes directly through the middle of the green formation
Price speculation idea
breaking the bear flag should between 47.5 and 44.6 where we could continue the bull trend due to the fundamental increase in fertilizer prices as we saw last market crash in 2008 this made highs of 162.89
The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $MOS after a Negative over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift C with an expected accuracy of 50%.
MOS/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. * Fed minutes were released today and confirms that the Fed is committed to two more rate hikes in June and July of at least 50 bps with potential for another 50-75 bp hike in September, and that they will sell mortgage backed securities (rather than let them roll over) if necessary as a means of reducing their balance...
MOS/USD Daily cautiously bearish. *USD bouncing back today as equity markets plunge lower.* Recommended ratio: 25% MOS, 75% cash. Price is currently trending down at $58 and is still technically testing the uptrend line from 01/24/22 at $59.50. Volume remains moderate and fairly balanced between buyer and sellers over the past nine sessions; though premature,...
MOS/USD Daily neutral with a bearish bias. *Critical Resistance watch* . Recommended ratio: 45% MOSAIC, 55% cash. Commodities have fallen with the broader market but can benefit from more supply chain woes. Price is currently trending up at $62.32 after bouncing off the uptrend line from 01/24/22 (~$57.50) and is approaching a test of $64.22 resistance....
Building on the prior idea, this stock remains good but fundamentally is priced well. I think we have seen a fundamental shift in demand for the shares and they will remain channel bound upward until we see a significant change. Institutions have been re-balancing their portfolios (ETFs/Mutual Funds etc) with names like MOS giving it a boost in demand (and removal...
Mosaic produces fertilizer which is heavily affected by the Ukraine/Russia war. Potash prices are priced to mean revert in the long term (by analysts) but I thing it will be higher for longer under this regime and we need this to produce crop and people need to eat. (Suggesting some inelasticity in the good).
Technical set up looks like there was a shorter...
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