We can't ignore that every time the Bollinger Bands tighten up we get a reversal in the unemployment rate. With this and along with other factors, a reversal is imminent. Check the comments section to see how this correlated to the S&p500 .
Every single time the FED has started a rate-cutting cycle with unemployment under 5%, a recession has ensued. 100% of the time since the 1940s. Every orange vertical line is a recession in the USA. notice how the fed funds rate (red line) tends to drop right before. Exactly like what is happening now. Value and real estate is where its at now that the fed will...
Jai Guru cred to TRex for inspirational TA cue/chart
Unemployment graph since 1950. Drastic highs and lows from business layoffs spurring economic crashes. Each trough puts in motion an economic recession. A healthy economy has an unemployment rate of 4.5%. Below or above that range is considered unhealthy. We are currently in the longest unemployment decrease in history. I think currently the US economy is...
Applying some structure to the unemployment rate for fun
Okie, i am not going to rant about doom and gloom here. I just think there is an interesting similarity between 1997-2000 Fractal trend. Which means, that we have still long way to go for BULL, why? Maybe because of TRUMP and his desire for peace though Strength policy. Nobody wants war, especially Trump's ego. Thus, we can conclude that next election is all it...
A lot of people are thinking the recession and crash in the equities markets will start this year. I beg to differ. Gold is in accumulation and so is bitcoin. I think both assets will rally up to their previous highs within the next two years and when the market crashes in 2022-23 that is when gold and bitcoin will dump around 40-50% with equities. There is...
Seems like every time there's been a change in the unemployment rate, there's the significant correction in the markets, I know it's a bit too early to tell, but there are signs already.
Watch ISM declining data. If it continues to decline, recession is imminent as shown by the values on the chart and correlations to past market moves.
This chart shows the correlation of the Dow Jones over time with the "official" Unemployment Rate here in the U.S. Its interesting at least to see how well the Unemployment rate dictates the tops and bottoms in the Dow Jones practically to a "T". Please comment and let me know what you think of this idea... Also, I have inverted the unemployment rate and...
As you can see low-unemployment is early signal markets start to reverse, especially if there are divergences present between unemployment and it's RSI value. When low unemployment starts to break up this means that the market is saturated with jobs and many flourishing businesses, there has been a phase of economic euphoria and the climate becomes highly...
If Fed continues to raise interest rate for coming year, I think there is a higher chance for unemployment rate to hit bottom. Let's see...
Neat! Longing unemployment bounce by shorting speculative asset classes and finding a nice forest to settle down in for the next 4 years. :-)
This chart shows great correlation with financial crisis' in the past . The unemployment rate has hit lows it hasn't seen since 1970.
Using a simple moving average crossover of the unemployment rate to time the market