Sigo firme con mi idea de que hasta acá llegó. A pesar de haber presión compradora, todo está indicando que acá tiene que haber toma de ganancias.
YPF Más claro no hay! Impecables todos los indicadores. Vamos de a uno: Fibonacci: una pinturita, la extensión está perfectamente ajustada al precio de la acción. Estos últimos días estuvo probando la línea de 0,786. Más específicamente, hoy tocó esta línea y volvió para atrás para cerrar en el valor actual. Que más podemos esperar? Con buen volumen debe...
Historically important levels now. RSI overbought. MACD too high. To me, it's a clear sell.
Price reached the MA200 and downside trendline and couldn't get through them. Fibonacci .618 of the previous movement is already in. Moreover, Argentina uses this company as a way to hold inflation. So, profits are limited. Clear sell for me.
Terminó la onda B llegando al 50% de onda A. En el gráfico horario se ve una fuerte divergencia confirmando el posible punto de inflexión.
New highs in 6 months. RSI seems overbought, but the price ended above the MA200. I would sell calls.
I'm not a fan of its fundamentals, but the setting seems appealing. It is now above the previous downtrend line and the MA50. The MACD, however, starts to show a relative weakness.
The thesis in one line is: YPF's costs are in pesos, but its revenues are in dollars. The Argentinian peso has been crushed past few months. Argentinian assets are unpopular; for example, YPF is down 30% in 4 months. If sentiment towards Argentina improves, the stock goes up, but if it doesn't, while the peso is down YPF generates windfall profits.
Start position around 20.90, wait a max of 3 months (till march).