In most cases regular corrections end at 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area. Lets wait =)
bullish divergence is there ; but i'm not forecasting 2016 lvls as of yet
Here is an update, it appears to be consolidating and have a noteworthy move up. As long as interim support holds oil short looks like a solid move till retest of 48 range.
Have a sizeable position in SCO, currently down 1.23% with an an average of $35.09 still holding an additional 15% of funds in case this decides to move in the opposite direction My chart is indicating. I am currently seeing wti being ineffective at breaking the 52 range and imo in order for a retest of 55 and move to 60 there needs to be a retrace to 47-48....
Current position in SCO @ 35.23 pps represents 20% position on initiation. will add today.
The window for bull oil $51 is not possible do to the seasonality of oil. I was looking for an additional price spike, but oil only had a strong correction. I feel oil may try to work it's way towards $40 this downturn. Targets are best guesses for daily oil prices on an ETF. I'm not sure on the timing of the price action, but I can see a move happening very very...
Oil is losing upward power and the oil ETFs are becoming overbought and oversold. This idea is playing a daily bounce back to the 10EMA and gap area. After that oil will have to figure out which to go.
OIL has been struggling for quite a while. This index uses leverage to increase wins/losses. I see a good trade opportunity to short oil and am buying this index to do it!!! 28% profit is a decent potential move for this trade.
This idea works off a forecast that oil will continue bearish. I feel it's time to buy SCO and put a stop near $43. I feel the July 5th large bear candle is a reversal to begin a new trek downwards. I also think oil should eventually go into the high 30's before ending it's bear run, but I'm only targeting a retest of last bottom near $42 oil ($52ish for SCO)...
I'm not sure how much oil will correct before a buy on bearish oil. It may be shallow or a moderate amount. I feel the last impulse up in bearish oil will be strong and fast. Try to be open minded on the last impulse strength and have a trailing stop. It may exceed the target box, so adjust on strength.
In the context of Crude oil decline below 45, we are looking to long SCO. SEC looks breaking up a downward channel & money-flow in increasing. We are looking to long if breaks above 91.73 You can check our detailed analysis on SCO in the trading room/ Executive summery link here- www.screencast.com Time Span: 29:00” Trade Suggestion Date: 5th Jul
Here I am just setting my fibs in place for he move in SCO. My actual target is over $200. However, the fibs right now only get us this far. Until we see how 3rd waves extend, we don't have the full set of targets.