At the latest policy meeting, the ECB decided to keep interest rates unchanged but left no doubt about its intention to move to more easing. The guidance prompted traders to increase bets that the organization led by Christine Lagarde will launch an easing campaign at the next monetary policy meeting in June. The prospect of the ECB being ahead of the Fed on...
EURUSD advanced on Monday, clearing both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages near 1.0785. If this bullish breakout is sustained, overhead resistance stretches from 1.0805 to 1.0810. While overcoming this barrier may pose a challenge for bulls, a move beyond it could lead to relatively clear sailing towards 1.0865, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the...
EURUSD remained subdued late in the week, unable to sustain its upward momentum after Wednesday’s bullish breakout, with the exchange rate seesawing but holding steady above 1.0865. Bulls need to keep prices above this area to prevent a resurgence of sellers; failure to do so could result in a pullback toward 1.0810/1.0800. On the other hand, if buying momentum...
EURUSD trades in somewhat of a tepid fashion but has a slight lean to the downside after bouncing off channel resistance. There was always a good chance that the dollar would recover some of its losses in a quieter week as the FX market tends to favour higher yielding currencies under less volatile conditions. The pair approached overbought conditions but...
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has warned about high domestic inflation despite having one of the highest interest rates among major central banks. The committee discussed raising rates but acknowledged that the economy can't handle it. As a result, markets have postponed expectations of a rate cut to November. The NZD/USD has been steadily rising since...
GBPUSD accelerated to the upside this past week, briefly reaching its highest level in nearly two months at one point before the weekend. If the rally continues and gains momentum in the coming sessions, resistance is likely to appear at 1.2720, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2023 decline. Further strength could then direct focus toward the 1.2800...
Data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April, raising the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the dollar weakened and US Treasury yields fell, gold prices rose because expectations of interest rate cuts will make haven assets like gold more attractive. A gauge of core U.S. inflation cooled in April for the first time in...
OANDA:XAUUSD after a correction on Thursday, it remained within a short-term uptrend and the market was affected by some comments from Fed officials. Three senior Fed officials said the central bank should keep interest rates high longer as policymakers await more evidence of slowing inflation, suggesting officials are in no rush to cut interest rates....
GBPUSD also edged down on Thursday, but managed to stabilize around the 1.2515/1.2500 range. Bulls must strive to maintain prices above this support region to prevent sentiment towards the pound from deteriorating; otherwise, sellers could seize the opportunity to launch a bearish assault on 1.2430. On the other hand, if buyers make a new appearance and propel...
OANDA:GBPUSD ANALYSIS AND CHARTS - GBPUSD edged back into the green Tuesday - The UK’s March PMI saw upward revision, signaling the first growth in twenty months The British Pound slightly rebounded against the US Dollar on Monday due to unexpected strength in domestic manufacturing. However, the Pound remains below last week's trading range against the...
GBPUSD sold off this week, slipping below a technical floor at 1.2430 and hitting its lowest point since November. With bearish momentum prevailing, there's potential for accelerated losses in the short term, possibly prompting a revisit of 1.2320 – a major Fibonacci support level. Prices may bottom out in this area before reversing higher; but in the case of a...
GBPUSD mounted a moderate comeback on Wednesday, bouncing off support in the 1.2430 region. If the pair extends its rebound in the coming trading days, resistance awaits at 1.2525, followed by 1.2575 near the 200-day simple moving average. On continued strength, the next key level to watch is 1.2645. Alternatively, if sellers return and trigger a market selloff,...
POUND STERLING ANALYSIS - Sterling in focus ahead of lower anticipated UK inflation – BoE up Next - OANDA:GBPUSD falls back into prior trading range as USD maintains bid STERLING IN FOCUS AHEAD OF LOWER ANTICIPATED UK INFLATION – BOE UP NEXT UK inflation, expected to drop before the Bank of England's monetary policy update, is crucial for achieving the...
US DOLLAR FORECAST – OANDA:GBPUSD - U.S. dollar displays rangebound behavior ahead of high-impact events on Friday - US PCE data and Powell’s speech on Friday will be key for markets - Thinner liquidity conditions are expected later in the week because of a bank holiday The U.S. dollar, as measured by the DXY index, moved within a narrow range on Tuesday,...
EUR/GBP rose unusually on Friday as risks of a broader conflict between Israel and Iran eased. In addition, it is seen that inflation will decrease sharply to the target level in the coming months, sending a dovish signal to the market. The bank needs to remain restrained in its policy stance. However, he echoed Ramsden's comments by saying that the committee is...
EURGBP initially began the year in a fairly well-defined trading range but showed bullish impetus after breaking out of the consolidation pattern. However, bullish momentum appeared lacking, as the pair struggled to maintain a steady directional move and has since shown a penchant towards mean reversion. 0.8635 proved too high to handle for the pair previously...
OANDA:XAUUSD remains weak on the recovery of the US Dollar and the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) later this week will be the focus of market attention. Traders need to prepare for a busy period of economic data and events in the United States (US), which will include inflation data, retail sales data and a speech...
OANDA:XAUUSD remained strong as the Dollar and US Treasury yields weakened, although data showed US producer prices rose more than expected in April, suggesting inflation remained high. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that his confidence that inflation will continue to cool is no longer as high as it was at the beginning of the year and that...