Just seeing how some stocks (in this case, APPL) behaves following Wyckoff theory.
USDJPY the bottom of the trading range was tested. A buyers entered the market with high volumes overwhelming the sellers. Now the top of the trading range should be tested. The 'TDI is also defining a trading range. So I will be looking long until the 'TDI reaches the top of its range to go short again.
USDJPY is testing the bottom of the trading range defined by the Wyckoff Redistribution evaluation and median line of the pitchfork of the previous markdown. Will be looking for the market to go long to the upper median line of the smaller pitchfork in the next week.
AUDUSD started retracing last week. This week we will be looking for the retrace to complete to between the 50 and 61% levels at the trend lines. Will be looking for a no demand day to go long.
We are now in Phase B of the redistribution using a Wyckoff analysis. We are now building a cause in preparation for a new downtrend. Large institutions and large professional interests are still disposing of their long inventory and initiating short positions in anticipation of the next markdown. The COT non-commercial interest are still short and showed some...
AUDUSD is showing signs of strength and the mark-up is starting. Watch for the pullback to the 0.618 retrace this week. At a no demand (low volume small spread) candle enter long and look for the next mark-up.
There is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Signs of strength with widening price spreads and increasing volume. The reactions (LPSs) have smaller spreads and diminished volumes. We are moving away from the trading range resistance lines. Based on this I think we are in the mark-up phase. Looking for some good pips on the way up.
Price has moved away from the resistance line and yearly PP. Price has retested these levels and is now moving away from the resistance and trading range. There is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Signs of strength with widening price spreads and increasing volume and reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes is still observed. The 'TDI...
The trading range has been set in phase A of the redistribution (using Wycoff theory) with a selling climax (SC), preliminary support (PS), automatic reaction (AR), secondary test (ST) . Also notice the volume spike at the SC and at the top of the trading range and low volume test of the bottom of the range. We can now expect the corrective structure to develop. I...
There is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Advances (SOSs) are on widening price spreads and increasing volume. The reactions (LPSs) have smaller spreads and diminished volumes. We are at the top of the trading rand and moving away from it. Based on this I expect the mark-up phase to start soon.
As indicated last week we expected to find support at the resistance lines. There is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Advances (SOSs) have widening price spreads and increasing volume. Reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes was again seen. We are at the top of the TR. We should see the mark-up phase should start soon.
The USDJPY has made a correction to the ML of the pitchfork setting the trading range during the redistribution phase. If this Wyckoff view of the market holds we could se the market range between these levels well into next year. For now we will be looking for a reaction at the LML of the Pitchfork.
After a long downtrend $MU bottomed out and began a period of accumulation. It looks like $MU is about to enter the mark up Phase E and start a new uptrend. Besides the purely technical analysis, I want to point out that Micron Technology's business is a very cyclical one. About 60% of Micron Technology's revenue comes from DRAM, the rest comes from 'NAND'.The...
The market is again testing the Last Point of Support (LPS). These tests are noted by smaller spreads and diminished volumes. There is consistent dominance of demand over supply. Price has moved to the top of the TR. LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions. We have reached such a point at the yearly PP and...
To confirm our analysis we are looking for a consistent dominance of demand over supply. Volumes are low in general but up moves are supported by higher volumes (21 day average volumes) and pullback even lower volumes. Price spreads are widening with the up move evident in TDI above 50%. The reactions at LPS are on smaller spreads and diminished volumes. Price is...
Price has moved to the top of the 55 Day OF and has shown some strong price rejection at this level. Volume remains low but the next move down should show some volume and spread increase which would indicate distribution. The range for the redistribution has now been set. Price did not make it to the Pitchfork ML which shows some weakness.
Similar to the NZDUSD pair we are looking for the breakout in Phase E to start of a Wyckoff view of the market. In Phase D if the analysis is correct we should see a consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume, and reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished...
Apparently the mark-up has not started. The NZD is showing weakness with divergence on the TDI and a break of the 21 Day OF. A great analysis by @IvanLabrie () seems to confirm this weakness. So I was too quick to call the start of Phase E. In Phase E if the analysis is correct we should see a consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a...