Bond pressure... Pushing' down on me, Pressing' down on you, No man ask for... Technical graph says that possible upside with NYSE:CFG stocks could be possible, with projected/ targeted line at 52W SMA. With 6.20% dividends yield, double-digit operating yield and P/B just at 0.6, NYSE:CFG securities can be considered as quite undervalued. The protection...
TBT is a UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ETF. This Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the Daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. 1. Always look first. Never rush into a trade or investment blindly. 2. Wait, and wait again, for the pattern to develop. 3. Be patient...
Much to the chagrin of would-be homebuyers, property prices just keep rising. It seems nothing - not even the highest mortgage rates in nearly 23 years — can stop the continued climb of home prices. Prices increased once again in July, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index , with 19 out of 20 markets measured showing...
NASDAQ:TLT chart mapping/analysis for med-long term swing trade strategies.
Update from original TLT vs. US20Y idea: - Switched to New Pane comparison for optimized viewing/zooming in on price movements. - Added TLT Candles for better price action analysis. - Added TLT trend lines for greater emphasis on inverse correlation + indication of trend break-outs. Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :) AMEX:HYG NASDAQ:TLT TVC:US02Y ...
The Inverse ETF for the 20-Year US Government Bond is currently breaking out of a Descending Broadening Wedge and is looking to go much higher perhaps between the 61.8% and 78.6% retraces which would be about a 500-1,400% percentage gain which also means that longer end bond yields are going much higher.
TVC:US20Y double-tops, while NASDAQ:TLT creates a double-bottom.. Question to ask tho - has US20Y actually double-topped, or is this just retracement for a bigger push beyond ATHs? Looking for further signs of confirmation that long-ended yields have indeed peaked...then I'll feel more confident in popping the champagne. Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers...
Things are getting interesting in bond land, Japanese central bank balance sheet increasing after 09 to keep US bond yields down is finally starting to show signs of fail. This system is starting to break due to investors losing faith in the system. As faith is lost US bonds are sold, as US bonds are sold Yields go parabolic, Japan has been a US proxy since 09...
Long ago we mentioned that #FederalReserve had decision to make. They either chose the Economy or the Markets. They CANNOT do both. It's obvious, plus they keep repeating, with rate hikes where their mindset is. Media states that Wall St thinks that #interestrate will be cut. BUT Looking @ short term rates, they look primed to go...
hello, here is one more layer of confluence, to back up my spx case. --- to the untrained eye, this looks like total, nonsensical chop, but to a space explorer, it can easily be viewed as a 3-3-3. what is a 3-3-3? glad you ask anon: a 3-3-3, is a very corrective structure, designed to kill time mostly- labeled w-x-y. wxy = double zig-zag these channel...
good eve' --- decided to update my primary today, to further align with the current states of the market. my upside target remains the same, at 5.9%--6% into 2024, but i think we go slightly lower locally, into june before it pops. summer time is historically quite bullish in the market, so a slight pause on rates to align with seasonality makes sense. thanks...
gm, called the top on the us10y last year as well. (view post at the bottom of this thread). swinging by to actually adjust my public bias, after a few recent discoveries. --- jerome powell explicitly mentioned in a few of the recent talks that the fed is going to raise the interest rates above 5%, and keep them there for some time. what this tells me, is...
We will have a deflationary crisis before super inflationary crisis. During the upcoming rate cycle we will have inflation going up at the same time as rates. Welcome to a new world. At least in the US. I've been saying this for years, higher rates only compensate inflation it doesn't fight inflation.
This pattern getting painted filled with false hope of people thinking the damages from QE since 2008 and the Pandemic printing are over is very alarming if it plays out. It was terrible enough seeing people lose fortunes / life savings during the recent collapse of the simpleton's running VC funds with insane leverage without telling people where their funds...
Expecting bonds to push one more time lower as shown to complete its wave 5. Once complete may be a very interesting opportunity.
We might be in a paradox where Interest rates and the Stock market (S&P 500) both move up together.
Just be careful out there because we might be heading towards a big deflation event. NOT INFLATION... DXY could break above $130 and TLT could break above $200.