TLT as shown on a 30 minute chart shows TLT in a narrow range last week and then a pivot down to begin this week followed by a downtrend and a small correction until then the fed news of the rate hike came out. Today the general market dropped after some federal financial data came out and a treasury auction was a dud bond auction with little...
As you may already know, the US 10-Year Treasury is a government bond that benchmarks long-term interest rates. Investors often turn to this instrument as a safe haven during times of economic uncertainty or market volatility. In contrast, gold has long been considered a store of value and a hedge against inflation. It is highly sought after in times of economic...
I see a big opportunity on treasuries with the rates that the treasauries are trading at. Why? Inflation has been going down consistently from 9.1% to 4% and the PPI (which is the Producer Price Index) from 11.1% to 1.1%. These indicators usually draw near the core CPI which has been sticky above 5% and has been the aim for the FED. Rents and some services have...
EUR/USD is drifting downward on Tuesday. In the North American session, the euro is trading at 1.0898, down 0.15%. The US markets are closed for the July Fourth holiday, and we can expect limited movement from EUR/USD for the remainder of the day. After disappointing German and eurozone Manufacturing PMIs on Monday, it's the turn of Services PMIs on Wednesday. ...
Money that is being parked at the Feds Reverse Repo Facility due to attractively high interest rates the fed has set for money parked at the facility has been on a steady decline since late 2022 and we have now confirmed a lower high and are looking to break down below a Bearish Dragon trend line that could be the initial trigger that gets it started to going down...
The 3 Month Bill is currently breaking down and backtesting a Rising Wedge after Bearishly Diverging at some extreme highs while the DXY has also broken below a long term trend line and is backtesting the S/R Zone and Moving Averages as Resistance. I have expectations that both of them will crash majorly in the coming weeks to months.
The 10 Year Yield has been trying to hold this B point level as Support for the longest time but everytime it tries to bounce it gets pushed right back down and in the most recent try we saw it come up to test the moving averages while it Bearishly Diverged and began a Death Cross. If we can get a serious BAMM Breakdown from here it coulkd go down all the way to...
Another bear flag on the ZN monthly, but this one is massive with lots of volatility. The next leg down might be ugly.
SOMETHING CRAZY IS ABOUT TO HAPPEN IN THE MARKETS. IT'S DEBT VS GOLD VS DXY. IF GOLD BREAKS THE CEILING ALL HELL WILL BREAK LOOSE ON THE DOLLAR IF GOLD DOES NOT SUSTAIN THEN THE DOLLAR WILL GO 🦧APE 💩 Watch what the headlines are. Total mayhem... else it'll just be a quiet implosion of extra liquidity pumped into the system and well... we all know what happens...
The 10Y-03MY yield curve is the lowest ever. It looks like it cannot go any lower. Is it about to turn? And will it bring DXY up with it? An option is to buy AMEX:MINT or LSE:IBTE to play that trade.
TMF completed an uptrend from 3/28 to 4/6 and then a retracement of it. It is now positioned above the 0.5 Fibonacci level also the VWAP of the anchored multisession VWAP indicator in the fair value ( and high volatility ) area also near to and importantly above the POC line of the intermediate-term volume profile. This high confluence yields strong support...
There's obviously lots of discussion about interest rates and where they are headed. Today, I'm going to look at long-term interest rates based on the well-known ETF: $TLT . Long-term interest rates are useful as a guide for most people who get a home-loan or longer-dated loans and is usually less prone to manipulation (by Central Banks) than short-term...
The signal I was waiting for to start buying bonds was whenever the Federal Reserve stopped or slowed raising interest rates. The Fed held another rate policy meeting this week and only raised the Federal Funds Rate by +.25% instead of the +.75% that had been the trend. We've gone from seeing a +.50% hike in Dec, to +.25% in Jan to +.25% this week after 4 prior...
Good afternoon and good evening dear traders! At the morning I shared a post where I said to sell ZB1!, it's too late but you still have made some profits if you got in early. For my clients and I it was a good day in ZB1! and NATURAL GAS, we could make some good profits on the 4% drop of the NATURAL GAS and on the 1% of the ZB1!, I didn't share the NATURAL GAS...
Good morning dear traders! I'm sharing with you one of my trades for today as I usually do. I managed to share with you the TREASURY BONDS one, as you can see on the chart the price broke the channel for the fist time as a fake breakout, the 2nd time it did the same thing but it managed to come back down ad give us the confirmation to sell, my customers and I got...
Good afternoon and good evening traders! I'm sharing with you a recap of my trade for today, actually we caught the 1st up trend after breaking the support line with a quite high volume, then after having the highest volume of the day on the candle I put the 2nd arrow at we added another position to finish the trade on the market with 2 contracts and a respectful...
Good morning traders, today I'm sharing with you my trade on TREASURY BONDS, you can see that it crossed the parallel channel with a quite high volume. TP and SL set them at your own risk In case you got any question don't hesitate to ask.
good afternoon and good evening traders, I'm sharing with you the recap of my trade for today on CRUDE OIL, today I posted it too early than usual since my custommers and I got in multiple markets and were already on profit at the moment we got in this one. The reason why we sold is theprice pulled back on thet resistance line which is provided by a tool I can't...