Patterns can be failed very unexpectedly. Patient is the key of success. Open your trad on a strong trend. Later I will explain about how to adjust SL and TP. I will also explain how to get reversal signal and have more confidence on your decision. It's all about Risk to Rewards. Get yourself mentally ready and deal for long term instead of amateurish...
If for some reason, you don't have access to Dough's Grid (which sorts underlyings by Implied Volatility Rank or IVR), you can always use the historical volatility indicator to determine the quality of volatility in the underlying instrument. Higher historical volatility equals better premium. In this particular example, I'm using TLT, whose HV hit a high of...
YUM announces earnings on 10/6 after market close, so if you're going to play this via an options setup, look at getting a fill for whatever you put on prior to the 10/6 New York close. Ordinarily, I trade these using a short strangle or iron condor, with the short call/put legs at or around the 1 standard deviation line for the chosen expiry, which will either...
I have a love-hate relationship with earnings plays. When they work out, I'm happier than a clam; when they don't, I swear off them, use expletives to describe them, and say that they're a total *?! waste of time. That being said, there are some I just can't pass up, usually because the premium is just too good. In the next couple of weeks, these will be NFLX,...
Although we are starting back into another earnings season, I'm just not all that fond of earnings plays; I prefer the relative boredom of index ETF trades or things like sector SPDR's for the generation of steady income as opposed to flash-in-the-plan earnings plays which are generally binary in nature. They either work out quickly and dirtily or go horribly...
Anytime, when the front month contracts are expensive than the back month's. Any rally to the upside is to be taken with a grain of salt. Because, Market is pricing in more risk on short term contract than the long terms. And risk in the general market knows only one direction, which is ________. assuming you know the answer. I will leave that blank. Any rally...
This is an option strategy, involves complex options spread (CUSTOM) Takes advantage of all the aspects. 1. Trend - Strength classification 2. Setup - Followed by Trigger (Hidden) 3. Most important - Setup Violation (Yet to be coded) Sneak Peak This is my Strategy for trading the most successful option trades (short term). Winning the game is all i focused....
Utilizing the T&B indicator and the Snapback indicator for a Setup seems a bit more promising. Snapback shows the overheating, T&B shows the momentum shift. I will work on a putting together a strategy and rules. If theres potential to make money, will go live. Sorry, I forgot who asked the question. Thanks a lot. And please identify yourself in the comment....
Here we have a completed Gartley pattern in the positive deviation area of the last 100 and 200 moves. According to my strategy , this market is likely to reverse down into the negative regression. As of right now, the market is retesting the high at point D and we should see a trade completion in the next couple of hours. Anyone that has been following my trades...
FB has hit resistance at $83. Three times was not a charm for $FB as it could not close above $83. The daily stochastic indicates a sell today. My favorite indicator at present is the Aroon up, I use it to indicate tops in FB when it hit 100. It did hit 100 on Thursday and went lower on Friday. When it hits 0 in about 15 days, I expect FB to between $74 and $77....
here we see a Butterfly pattern forming on the Euro against the Yen. If the pattern makes it above 136.025, the pattern will be complete, in which case i have places my entry at point B , my limit at the 1.618 extension of the BC leg , and my stop at the Red D point, because at that point , we are at roughly a 2:1 risk reward ratio, also because I am going to...
Here we see a butterfly pattern on the New Zealand , United States charts. I have given the market some space to complete the end of the butterfly pattern before continuing in a bearish trend, because the closer to perfect the pattern is , the more secure of a pattern it will be. I have placed all of my order actions in the usual places, with one exception....
The S&P500 is at an important point in time. This excellent chart from @YaKa shows how the market is now at a meaningful long-term inflection point after a 7.5 year run. Normally this would be convincing, but this market cycle is different and thus the last run cannot be used for precise comparison. This market is not expensive enough at a point in the economic...
I am by no means an expert programmer or technician, but what I have been noticing with FCX is a relatively consistent pattern where option premium sellers have a great opportunity for enhanced success. Rules: - On a 4 hour chart with Keltner channels, Bollinger Bands in the upper indicator and CM_WVF_v3_Ult in the lower indicator 1) When CM_WVF is in GREEN,...
This is not my first TSLA trade but it feels like one. Back in early 2013 when I did some put selling in TSLA, it was a completely different stock in so many ways. Two years ago Tesla was a small cap stock trading for $20+ with a terrific story. Today Tesla is one of the top momentum stocks on WallStreet. And it the process, it is leading the way of electric...
This strategy involves using the trading sessions of all the markets. I created this because the NY and London sessions are more volatile and you then make more losses when making the wrong call. Here are the steps to this strategy. 1. Find an indicator to show the trading sessions. 2. Trades on this strategy must be opened between 30min to an hour before close of...
This Pair is clearly currently bearish with the creation of lower highs approaching a monthly support. - Bearish MA Cross - Lower Highs - Rejection off 50% fib level I believe if price can break the monthly support at the pshychological level of 127.000 I see the completion of a possible D leg at around 121.000.
Day 2 - Seems like an important day for these stocks. Most stocks here are wound in a some sort of patterns.. This Strategy #8 trigger today can take signal a technical breakout. Watch out for the market... SPY Lagging behind QQQ lagging behind IWM. - Nimble and selective are the words i want to remind again.