The idea is shown on this 120 minute. With the new sticky inflation data, the writing is on the wall. Likely the rate cut will be kicked down the time road. When is in consideration may be a rate hike in the meanwhile. Mortgage rates unchanged makes the banks suffer. Loan applications are down. Treasuries are being affected. So are tech stocks that have a...
TER shown here on a 30 minute chart has asended in a diverging channel to the resistance of January pivot high shown in the line and zone drawn onto the chart. My idea is to short it from here targeting first about 106 which is the line drawn from a pivot before the paradoxical fall with a decent earnings report. The lower target is the support trendline...
SOXS on the 30-minute chart has reversed from a trend down to an early uptrend. This is confirmed by a variety of indicators including the ATR/ U BOT indicator reset to a period of 4, the relative volume indicator showing buying volume spikes instead of selling spikes, as well as the squeeze indicator changes from a green negative histogram to a positive one....
On a 30-minute chart, like several other computer chip manufactures has approached or reached a near-term top. Overall Broadcom has gained 19% YTD. Earnings are in about two weeks. I see this as a short trade to follow AVGO from the top of the channel down to about 1225 in time to catch earnings at the bottom of the channel to end the swing trade and...
SOXL is the triple leveraged semi-conductor ETF while SOXS is its inverse. While SOXL is primarily up trending in its intermediate and full-time history, it does from time to time have a correction mainly when the technology sector gets challenged. I have found that plotting the ratio of the share values is a very accurate way of pinpointing those...
NVDA just put in a weekly bearish engulfing candle! This is the first sing of a leading Mega Cap potentially seeing some distribution. If this bell weather names keeps falling its going to turn the sentiment in the semiconductors slightly more bearish and will weigh in on the QQQ.
Nvidia made a new all time high today. We will see if it can continue beating its revenue 20% Quarter over quarter. Resistance & Support is clear.
Markets have had an extraordinary move to the upside with 8 days of consecutive gains and 9 days in the QQQ. Semiconductors often lead the market and have now hit major resistance. Microsoft has almost completed its bullish move.
SOXS the 3x Inverse ETF for Semiconductors, has broken out of a Bullish Head and Shoulders and now sits at the 89EMA. If things go as expected, SOXS should be clear to at least give us a 60-150% rally. At the same time, we also have a Bearish AB=CD on AVGO and what looks to simply be filling of a gap it made at $830 after breaking below its own slanted Bearish...
Last time we saw the bullish moving average cross of the 7MA & the 590 MA we saw a superb rally over 2.5months. This time we are seeing a bearish cross of the same 2 moving averages. Could this replicate the move to the downside? Don't say we didn't caution you!
Whether you like it or not, the AI pump, even though it lasted for four months, has come to an end, because "artificial" has never been much of a compliment in the first place. Consider this: Artificial butter is called "margarine" and if you use it in pastries in France you'll go to prison Artificial milk is called "soy drink" and if you drink it then you'll...
In a previous post on NVIDIA following its earnings gap all time high, I posited that a bearish three drives was a real possibility, which would involve the stock actually going down and then driving up a few more times in accordance with the overall market topping: NVIDIA - A Scenario Few Are Considering. Few. Few. Few. That never panned out, and instead...
TQQQ Trade example SQQQ SPXS SPXL SOXL SOXS YINN YANG
SOXL the 3X leveraged ETF of semiconductor stocks has gained 145% for the first half of the year. As shown on a 2H chart, the price has pulled back but the overall trend of HH and HL is intact within an ascending parallel channel. Price previously touched the lower trendline on May 24th while it touched the upper trendline May 30th and then again June...
NVDA turned down today while SOXS rose a bit. On the 30 minute chart is shown to have have been trending down but then reversed in the after-hours trading period albeit with the low volumes typical of after-hours. The relative volatility indicator however showed a dramatic reversal and will be beyond the moving average within the indicator. Overall, I see...
- QQQ and SPY still complete full bull control cant remember the last time bears confirm a hourly downtrend. - TSLA relative weaker to QQQ today - AAPL and MSFT lead bull leading the market today, ALL time highs - GOOGL and AMZN weaker of the techs today - NVDA also weaker with double top from yesterday - im shorting SOXX so buying SOXS and would like to see AVGO...
I don't have much to go on but that is fine. I just use the trend pivot line to put my back against (like a stop loss) So the margin of loss is minimal if the trade fails. I call this area the position of maximum opportunity.
This chart shows the long-term ratio between SOXL/SOXS. The intent is to detect reversals between semi-conductors long and short. At the pivot high, the price of SOXL compared with SOXS is at its highest. With a retreat from the pivot high, the price of SOXL is retreating while SOXS is rising. Historically in 2022 as shown on the chart, pivots were with a...