With the risk off markets that highly affected the EUR against the safehaven CHF a couple of weeks ago, the price plummeted near the parity! At the moment the price seems to be recovering slightly and likely looks to be headed over to the next psychological resistance found at 1.05000 area. The Swiss National Bank is likely handing a helping hand to the EUR here...
1. Be aware that the SNB (Swiss National Bank) had set a minimum exchange rate of 1.20 CHF per EUR for some years to keep Switzerlands economy in place, because we rely on exports. 2. This synthetically set level can be seen in the period from 2012-2013 where the price basically did nothing for weeks and was just kept alive at that rate 3. On 15.01.2015 this...
I think we have a decent trade with something between 3:1 and 5.28:1 RR here. I'm long here since the hourly is bottoming, and daily charts hit long term support, while being close to exhausting the last daily down trend signal that was active. Technically, this is a very strong mean reversion possibility and we have the backing of the Swiss National Bank which...
The concept of this complete or at least partially supported euro structure In this swing, there are three actors: 1 . the support which is acting as a pivot 2 . the opposing resistance which is being targeted 3 . the breakout trigger which will provide momentum The breakout here is attacking the soft resistance at 1.14 which is +/- 4% from current levels...
USDCHF extends Fed-led rally to the fresh high since May 06 even as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) reiterated status-quo during early Thursday. The pair seems to prepare bulls for the bi-annual SNB press conference while heading towards a convergence of 100-day SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement January-April upside. Given the upbeat RSI conditions, not oversold,...
The Swiss franc is up for a second straight day. In North American trade, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9000, up 0.24% on the day. The Swiss franc has made strong inroads in recent weeks against a US dollar which continues to struggle. The dollar posted sharp gains in the first quarter, but has reversed directions. Since April 1, USD/CHF is down 4.8% and has...
USDCHF is capped at resistance prior to the CHF Rate decision & statement, which may give the SNB a chance to be suprisingly hawkish following months of positive economic data out of Switzerland. The RSI & PPO have both generated sell signals. Price is also around the 50% fibonacci & trendline on the daily chart (not pictured)
The Swiss franc has started the week quietly. Currently, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9398, up 0.08% on the day. The KoF Economic Barometer, a key indicator of business confidence, will be released on Tuesday (7:00 GMT). The KoF slipped below its long-term average of 100 in January, with a reading of 96.5. The indicator rebounded in February, rising to 102.7 and the...
The Swiss franc is unchanged in Thursday trading. Currently, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9353, down 0.02% on the day. There were no surprises from the Swiss National Bank, which held its policy meeting on Wednesday. As expected, the bank maintained its key rate at -0.75%. The bank tweaked its inflation forecast for 2021 to 0.2%, slightly higher than the 0% forecast...
Heading into today’s European trading session, the risk tone is leaning risk on with Asia-Pacific indices mostly positive, measures of volatility subdued and safe havens pressured. In the FX complex, the positive risk tone sees JPY sit at the bottom of the F majors, followed closely by CHF with USDJPY set to test the 109.00 handle to the upside, while NZDJPY...
Hi the pound is weaker in recent days, the weaker market sentiment does not help either. The bulls on CHF are trying to use this sentiment. I expect more volatility after the SNB's rate decision. IMPORTANT: attention to the "invisible hands" of the SNB after the decision, it is the main risk factor for this pair for today. Sales 1.2825 + rallies towards...
Bank of America discussed its expectations for tomorrow’s SNB meeting in a recent note to clients. Bank of America noted: We expected the SNB to keep its policy on hold, ie, the deposit rate at -75bp paired with discretionary FX interventions. Unlike the ECB, where the reaction function has become more opaque again, we are relatively confident that we have...
📌 CHF for the Yearly Close An excellent swing move, which is extraordinarily difficult to spot. You should note that what has played out has been completely carefully controlled and exclusively on the FED side. Whereas SNB have been seeking salvation against the inflows, the USD cycle is playing out by default and monetary error more than anything else. You...
Another interesting play where buyers can win the flow. So, the idea to outguess a temporary floor in USDCHF is correct as we are approach very 'rich' levels for sellers. If buyers are going to have a late breakfast 0.890x is the level to load. Another few pips down and it would be difficult to defend because of the horizontal support. For those that remember...
📌 ridethepig | USDCHF Market Commentary 2020.11.26 This is one of the classic simultaneous 'worm in the apple' plays. It is an instructive illustration of the link between bids and offers in the short-term and diversionary support on the lows. The dependence of buyers position appears clearly on USD strength. The correct play here is to bid the 0.907x...
Not legal and financial advice; any information provided here is only the personal opinion of the author.
A nice ST reversal swing setup forming here that will be easy to defend for sellers. Naturally here in the middle of the range is surrounded in chop, but there is still hope. The technical range in USD is clearly defined after the swing down. We have strong resistance at 0.92 which is a cheap sell on rallies, with 0.90 acting as soft support and another test...
USDCHF has been trading in a range between 0.9200 and 0.9000 since late July. when it retests the top of its range at 0.9200. Elsewhere, they are confident the pair will eventually break through 0.9000. The most important even of the day is the Fed’s report today. It definitely will add fresh volatility to the market. in particular, await the Fed to deliver the...