Current reading of our risk model is low risk. Swing-traders can increase their exposure applying the concept of progressive exposure.
Some details:
Our risk model considers technical indicators, psychological / contrarian indicators and most importantly, the performance of stocks on our watchlists and in our portfolio. By doing that, we can define if our...
Our proprietary risk model for the US market changed to GREEN giving swing-traders a green signal to increase their exposure.
Most technical indicators in our risk model improved versus last week and are now showing a green or al leaset a yellow light.
Contrarian / psychological indicators like the bulls vs bear indicator are well in a range which would support a...
General Market Update
Stock market uptrend continues to show strength and shrugged off Big Tech losses.
The stock market made a show of strength by surging despite disappointing Big Tech earnings reports. But it is still too early for investors to be getting excited, with another Federal Reserve meeting rapidly approaching.
The Nasdaq composite turned in a 2.9%...
Our long term trend model for ETF investments moved to a buy signal two weeks ago and remains solidly bullish. ETF investors should be invested by 50-100%, pullbacks of the major US market indices can be used as low risk entry points. If you are still in 100% cash, I would look to add 25-50% on pullbacks in the SPY.
With that said, the current environment for...
The bulls were definitely dominating the stock market last week. And while it may be too early to celebrate and give it an all clear for breakout-traders, the fact that the market passed some key tests is worthy of increased optimism.
Investors should still nimble. With the stock market having its best month since 2020, it would not be unusual for it to digest...
The stock market rally hit some turbulence Friday as weak earnings from Snap (SNAP), Seagate Technology (STX) and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) weighed on sentiment but overall it was a good week at WallStreet last week.
There are good reasons to be optimistic about a tradable rally, but several high-profile earnings reports next week will likely dictate the action,...
The US market ended the first half of 2022 with significant losses to an extend that it makes H1_2022 to the worst first half year since 1970 !!!
The losses in H1_2022 are:
- SP500: 20.6%
- Dow Jones: 15.3%
- NASDAQ: 29.5%
- Russel2000: 23.9%
WHAT NOW?
Stock market analysis over the last five decades tells us that the average non-recession bear-market drops...
Our risk model significantly improved versus last week . The major market indices could accomplish a so called follow-through day (>2% gains under elevated volume) which is a very good indication with regards to the current health of the market.
Overall risk can be described as average versus high - very high in the last few weeks and months.
Swing-traders can...
The Ukraine war, ongoing lockdowns in China and associated disruption of global supply chains as well as upcoming inflation are key reasons for the high risk in the current market.
Swing-Traders should act with highest caution and be mostly in cash for quite some time now.
All technical indicators in our risk model are showing high risk, the overall risk rating...
Our risk model for SWING-TRADERS (US Stock Market) is still showing a high risk environment.
Swing-Traders should still be very careful and keep risk to a minimum. A very few indicators in our risk model suggest that we may have reached the bottom of the current market correction.
Best way to manage the current situation is to start off with a very few and small...
The different technical and psychological market indicators in our risk model for swing traders (US stock market) are discussed.
The updated risk model rating is deep red, current recommendation is to be patient and stay on the sidelines until market conditions for swing-trading are getting better again.
The following indicators are being discussed:
1....
