Idea for Real Estate: - Real Estate testing a double top after some exhaustion Sept-Oct. - MBB's rolling over, rejected at -1 Std Dev: - Because every other market component is already at +2/-2 Std Dev, and Real Estate is relatively less volatile than say S&P 500, I think the +1/-1 Std Dev is a good signal. - We will have more confirmation next week depending...
liquidity happens to line up with the 382 fib and 618 fib (shown as boxes on screen). Clear 5 wave structure and weekly candle close was bearish engulfing
There is a lot of talk about housing prices here in Australia at the moment and the affordability for new entrants to the market. It is always a trade off between investing in property and investing in equities or other asset classes. There are benefits to owning both property and stock. This graph is a ratio of the market capitalization of two ETFs, one in...
Analysis Forecast: Potential Support Level Analysis is for: SG Market Position Trading Income Portfolio Supporting Technical Observations: 1. Price resting near Fibo 50% Retracement 2. Fund Flow Index (FFI), positive divergence Forecast: Currently, expecting Short term rebound towards S$2.65 resistance area. If accumulation trading range is formed, we will see...
Idea for HGX: - Bubble commodity prices and supply chain issues having lagged effect on homebuilders. - Land + skilled labor shortages. Global productivity on a decline. - Waves synced. - Solar wind Jul 12-13. - Speculate next drop Jul 12-15, EOM at latest. GLHF - DPT
Trade for DRV: - Long DRV 10C Feb 22, 2022 for 0.5 debit. - Entered position based on Distribution cycle tending to affect the price in last 20% of the wave. Target downgap fills: GLHF - DPT
Idea for Housing/REITs (VNQ): - The Housing Market will crash. I am short REITs. - Lumber rose 400% in a year during a global crisis and then dropped 50% in a month... This is not a correction, but a bubble pop. - China reining in commodity prices. They announce that they will soon release state stockpiles of metals: www.bloomberg.com - State firms ordered to...
Trade for XRE: - Speculative trade. - Long put 16 strike Dec 17 2021 for 0.30 debit. GLHF - DPT
Speculative Idea for MBB (Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF): - Why is there a speculative housing bubble in the middle of a crisis? - "A major catalyst of the general financial crisis of 2008 was the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007, when a rising wave of defaults on home mortgages sent the value of mortgage backed securities plunging." - "They're in trouble right...
Technical Tuesday: Technical reasons to be short Canadian REITs (XRE): Mid Term (Trend): - Median Line with 80% chance to return to median line, once re-enters channel (Andrews) - Rising Wedge Short Term (Trade): - Exhaustion Gap (x2) - Double Top - Dark Cloud Cover Speculated movement within John Hill-Gann. Elliot Wave Projection forecasted. GLHF - DPT
REITs have been one of the market outperformers in the last 3 months despite the increasing of the market volatility. In this video, you will find out the top 5 US REITs - NYSE:BRX , NASDAQ:REG , NYSE:UDR , NYSE:KRG , NYSE:RPAI poised to resume the bull run and start the markup phase (Wyckoff Phase E).
Model Forecast for the Housing & Real Estate Market: Synopsis: Underlying Conditions: Federal Deficit: Debt needs to be paid. Household Debt Payments have bottomed. Household Debt Service Payments as a Percentage of Disposable Personal Income (TDSP): Business Inventories will fall: Housing Starts are falling, and can fall much lower before...
I am sure this is not the best time to make stock pick. But the market is actually not as bad as it may seems. If I look at my recent pick, actually only the china related stocks like BEKE/YSG are down because of the downtrend sentiment with nasdaq. If you look at my pick in ASX, all of the are still up since my recommendation, actually way up. One of the...
If anyone has been watching the SPDR sectors lately, XLRE has quietly outperformed. Strength in REITS usually signifies a strengthening economy. Maybe this is an under the radar reopening play? Options premiums are dirt cheap and might be worth a look. Anyway, the charts speak for themselves.
This is a nice covid play for me. Financials look good. Reputable REIT. Fresh. Entertainment based. I like it for growth.
Still trading at a discount to NAV But today's good news shows conditions are improving Dividend is almost 10% p.a. and is unlikely to be cut (yet!)
If price breaks the 38.2 Fib level which is also a trendline break, the next level of resistance is at 16.08 with a potential pause at the 61.8 Fib level. This is also a good ETF to own because the dividend is yield is 11.59%.
Waiting for a significant pull back (highlighted blue horizontal zone), before commencing a strong upward trend.