Looking at the monthly EUR/USD chart the confluences are more so evident. The Stochastic Oscillator showing divergence of the lows. Price currently sitting just below the 61.8% Fib retracement, You can see the ascending channel beginning to form with our 1.3900 handle target being confluent with channel resistance and the D2 Fibonacci extension -61.8%...
At the moment, in the big picture we are forming an ABC zigzag correction pattern which will take us into the 1.07408 area in which price will continue upwards. For now we can short down to this level by taking flag breakouts in favor of the downside. We have just closed below an ascending triangle on the lower timeframes and this has lead me to go short taking...
The dollar index on the daily chart you can see that we are now in a key area where it is testing resistance from February and November 2015, due to recent results from the US raising interest rates this has caused concern for investors and we have seen a big sell off, I believe we may see a big sell off again after the pullback to 99.26 0.382 fib or even gain...
Breaking Monthly TL in late 2014 we still have not seen a technical retest. a break of range to the downside would see the index reaching the 80 handle
Technicals (Bearish) - Price has just tested resistance zone and showing signs of bearish momentum, the divergence provides confluence.
Fundamentals (Bearish) - Increasing speculation around USD rate hike provides more bearish momentum for the pair.
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