Provided we have a weekly or a monthly close below $38k and the 1 year developing value area top will force selling pressure to further downside pretty fast.
If price trades below the lower low on the bull run of November on the daily time frame we can confirm an official trend change and an end to the bull run until a correction has finished (It's way too long...
Both patterns are bullish, whichever you choose to interpret it as. Additionally, there is decreasing volume as it reaches its 200ma on the daily. Lloyds has been very well behaved when it comes to chart patterns over the past year.
MACD crossing down is a reason for concern though.
If we look at the volume profile (15-minute chart showing the last month) and focus on the higher volume areas, we can draw these four zones that may act as potential support levels if price breaks lower. The issue with predicting these support levels is the Italian referendum result is likely to cause volatility.