Here we are coming to the end of the corrective wave within the underlying bull trend. The time has come to start getting to work on the top-side here again, this is a move we have been tracking for some months (see attached). We are going to be exploring the speed limit of the dollar over the next few months so buckle up and get ready for some very large moves...
Weekly T@M signals imply $USDCNH might be basing before rallying from this juncture. Will be interesting to monitor developments in this pair, as fundamentals present complex issues, related to trade talks with the US and the price of commodities as well. The largest distribution pattern led to a signal that exceeded the target, but ran out of time, followed by a...
This is how PBOC responds to tariffs. Let me remind you that China is the world's largest United States of America's Exporter, which means USA is the greatest Rep. of China's contractor/debtor.
Head and shoulders for USDCNH forming (Head @ 6.9500 and Shoulders at 6.9000), with Take Profit @ 6.6000 and Stop Loss @ 6.8520. People's Bank of China has announced a change to Yuan policy to keep currency steady and restrain the depreciation to downplay speculation on a devaluation of the currency due to US-China trade war. In fact, China may be looking at...
News or Rumors, NEO will be in it's Matrix trend for long gain with correction. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- There's so much confusion and a neutral response over the news which is...
Sideways action here...I'm waiting for fundamentals to evolve, the chart shows mixed signals that could develop into both a downtrend or an uptrend with equal chance...a bit leaning towards uptrend due to the long term chart, and also the poor follow through to the downside recently. Other than that, I don't yet have a good enough low risk setup here, so, I chose...
I'm holding long positions in $ETH, and aiming to add once we get further confirmation of the weekly uptrend resumption. Recent events have led to a rollercoaster of emotional trading and a lot of people badly positioned. I was anticipating a sentiment reset before, as you can see in my related ideas, it was in fact needed to resume the long term uptrend in...
Dear traders, I believe we are at a critical juncture here. Quite possibly, China allowing shorting of their currency might have made the $USDCNH pair bottom last Friday. This is no minor news, and if we study the chart we might be able to understand the relationship between the chinese Yuan and cryptocurrencies. Since 2014, that $USDCNH bottomed, it spent a long...
This is an update of my $ETHUSD long term forecast. We're holding spot holdings in $ETH among other currencies in our crypto portfolio for a good while now. We aim for the targets on chart, it should base here for a bit, before launching higher, as the ICO 'ban' is potentially either reinterpreted by the market as actually bullish, since $ETH is a protocol to run...
The target hasn't been hit yet, but we might end up hitting it, and stalling there for some time, as I had explained in the monthly chart I posted. If you're long, look into closing margin longs on target, or if you own more than 50% account, go back to BTC to maintain equal weights in your cash account (spot, no leverage). The support here is strong, so you can...
If this signal works, we'll have a great rally into resistance, which could lead to a top, and a sideways consolidation for some time in the 6.75-7 range. I think this would align with other markets showing similar mixed signals regarding equities and the dollar, or with bonds and gold chopping around but finding buyers in the daily oversold lows. Bitcoin also...
EURUSD has an interesting signal in the short term. The chart points to more upside here, but the most interesting thing is that the stop loss for this long trade is very tight. Also, we have a record position in speculator shorts in treasuries plus a massive selloff courtesy of China, which would correlate with today's dip in the Euro (on the back of Yellen's...
Following the PBOC's manipulation and the massive drop for two days, price is starting to slow down. I think we will see a bottom here shortly. If we don't hit 6.7696 before Monday's close, we can anticipate a turn here. After the week closes, we'll get more confirmation of the risks in BTC and USDCNH. It could take as long as 3 weeks to confirm upside is viable...
This is what we're looking at here. We're already in a full position, so, we're limited to use leverage to add trades here. We took a long, currently in profit, and we're aiming to book profits and reduce our long term position against resistance higher. We'd like to see the following happen next: No new lows after today. Daily close above 5175. Price not...
BTCCNY's correction appears to have ended, at least for now. We need to determine if it'll hold here, or break lower before finally resuming the long term advance. I'll monitor price action to manage my position size accordingly. I'm currently long, after trimming down to 20% exposure before the PBOC news fueled 37% decline, and added 60% gradually, over 3...
This is what the long term picture looks like for Bitcoin right now. We have now hit the Range Expansion validation target, which confirms that bullish momentum is intact, increasing our confidence in the forecast on chart. There are two targets, one with a high probability of being attained, of more than 60%, and one with lower probability, but still more than...
The PBOC’s task becomes increasing difficult with a strong USD since China decided to hitch its star to the USD. China from the 1980’s until now has exported goods and capital to America. The DXY Index (US Dollar Currency Index) weakened to a low of 72.00 in Spring 2008. Since then, it has rallied over 33%. The CNY has strengthened 5% in USD terms and...
There's a discrepancy between timeframes in $AUDUSD, with the daily recently turning into a downtrend, after suggesting buying dips was viable all year; the weekly in an uptrend, and close to fail to confirm bearish momentum within 2 weeks; and the monthly indicating a full flung downtrend is en route, and it should eventually achieve the 0.63111 mark by or before...