After a massive 8H trend down, EURNZD made a bounce north. Now there is conflict with a Daily trend heading south. I explore the probabilities. Have a look.
Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation to trade securities. Your losses are your own should you take a position. This means you sue yourself if you lose your money.
There was panic around high noon UK time, as news broke that the IRS will be sending warning letters to American cyrpto traders. This caused a dump on BTC and shockwaves were felt throughout most of the cryptosphere.
But hold on - the IRS does not rules the world! This dump could well make BTC and other major cryptos very attractive to international investors...
This one is from the comfort of my bed! I've spotted a trend change on a 30 min time frame. This is a trend following set up with a controlled loss.
Disclaimer: This is not a recommendation to trade securities, derivatives or any other instrument. Your losses are your own, which means you sue yourself if you lose your money!
Silver has definitely take off - but yes it's early days. And that's where you wanna be - early in any bull (or bear) run. Gold surprised 'everybody' recently, and many including myself, were left with their jaws on the floor! Silver is so far looking like it's likely to follow gold. The trouble now for new entrants on Silver, is in finding the right spot,...
US OIL has been in a 2 Hour trend south. The position is still ripe for shorting but only with acceptable risk management and controls. There is a very deceptive RSI hogging the trenches which will be scary. I show how even in a bear market it's possible to exploit going long. In other words if you know what you're doing there's money to be made both ways. No...
I explore price action in trends from 1H into 8H time frames. At this time probability appears to be greater for the north. Note that for any probability in one direction, there is a residual probability for the south.
Disclaimer: This post is labelled 'long' only because the greater probability is perceived to be for the north on the 8H time frame. This is not...
USDCAD is in a definite trend south. There may be opportunities for shorting or going long coming up. I'll be looking for trend switches north to go long. However price could equally continue south. This post is therefore preparatory for moves that may come.
OANDA:XAUUSD, FX:XAUUSD, FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Monthly: The reverse head & shoulders formation has finally broken the neckline.
Daily: Previous reistance levels should now act as support including 1392, 1375 & 1367
Sell XAUUSD in front of $1375 & $1366
Stop loss at $1347
FX:AUDJPY, OANDA:AUDJPY, FOREXCOM:AUDJPY, SAXO:AUDJPY
AUDJPY is potentially setting up for a corrective move higher over the short to medium term.
Weekly: The price has fallen to a significant 61.8% Fibonacci support level. This has held on several occasions dating back to 2009, below here there have been a few reaction lows towards 71.94. There are some early...
I thought I would try out the video feature on Trading View. Excuse the background noise. As the video hasn't been scripted and it's difficult to explain how I frame the markets without spending over an hour going through it in detail, I did my best to convey my outlook on the EURUSD.
1. Larger shorts are still in play and have not yet failed.
This is an out-of-the-dog-house trade!
I say what I see which is a curve creating some probability for the north on GBPUSD. This is a 'Theory of curves' analysis. If the curve is right or wrong, the markets will tell us in a few days. For the moment I'm calling it.
This is not a recommendation to go long. I only label the position as 'long' because that is the...
This is an update on Gold with a new curve showing probability broadly for the north. See my previous video on a smaller curve.
The Theory of Curves is based on exploiting patterns in Chaos. Read up on Chaos Theory. The markets are pure chaos so it is every proper trader's business to know about it.
The chart shows either a wedge (broadening descending) or a parallel channel. It is important because the former more times than not is an indication of probable reversal northward. The latter (the channel) creates more probability for the south.
As many will know much of the volatility in the last few days has been related to the US-China trade talks and...
GBPAUD has retreated from a major breakout north down to a key ATR support level. This creates probability for the north. But caution - for every probability estimate in one direction there is a residual probability in the opposite direction.
This is a short take. EURNZD has shown an initial sharp switch for the south on 4H time frame. Looking at the history of this time frame (over the period shown), this usually is followed by further travel. How far? I don't know. See chart snapshot below.
But this pair is a very volatile one so don't expect it to go down...
I won't say much in this bit of text. It's all explained on the video why I think a bullish pump north is more probable than a bearish bust south. The markets are there to prove me wrong. But I have to evaluate what I see.
USDJPY is giving us some mixed messages on different time frames. For sure some people are gonna win and lose money by taking a position. I'm keeping my powder dry just for now. Later tonight (UK time), I'll see what the latest picture is like. I'm focusing on the 2H time frame for a hit.