After a massive selloff, breaking the 2016-2018 uptrend line, CL will likely find support at the bottom of this range, and the Yearly Pivot. Its very unlikely we continue down from this current level - and a much higher % probability is that we get a DCB/Relief Rally Bargain hunters will step in short term, short sellers will take profit, and we will see a push...
CL1! : Bearish divergence beetween Indicators, Stoch RSI is overbought. First target 65$ , if price breaks the blue line than can reach 50-45$, if we are bounce - than this is like Elliott Waves 12345 to the 90$.
Light.CMD/USD has been appreciating against the US Dollar since the middle of August after the pair reversed from the lower boundary of a six-week ascending channel at 65.00. Everything being equal, it is likely that the crude oil price will continue its upward movement and aim at the upper boundary of the six weeks ascending channel pattern at 75.34 during the...
Light Crude Oil #CL long term long bias, weekly demand level in control, similar scenario is also available on Brent. Weekly chart is uptrending, weekly demand imbalance at 64.94 is in control and printing higher lows. Daily demand at 65.82 in control attacking a used-up daily supply zone at 70.39, expecting daily supply level to be eliminated. If that happens a...
This is just one of several scenarios that may play out: The recent down-move over the last 20 days has only extended 0.618 of the larger move (purple (A) wave) and may have an extended 5th wave that meets a 1:1 extension of (A). Saying that the recent move is a valid impulse wave down, and it could be the end of the bear-move. On a break of the wave 5 / (3) low...
TP = 70.52 hit after the 4H Channel Up (RSI = 70.630, MACD = 0.810, B/BP = 2.3200) extended aggressively for a new Higher High near 70.90. The price is simply capitalizing on the previous week's 1W Engulfing Bullish reversal candle (+5.41% on RSI = 62.243, Highs/Lows = 1.2364). All longs from the lower 68.20 are closed, waiting for another pull back opportunity....
Since the last report, the price pulled back after the 1D Rising Wedge exhausted. Technically the correction on the 1W Channel Up is completed (at 63.50) and already the price has crossed (marginally) the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (69.23). 4H has developed a Channel Up (RSI = 61.796, Highs/Lows = 0.6614, B/BP = 1.300, MACD = 0.770) which will serve as the...
Crude broke a year long up trend line earlier this month. It has now tested the bottom of the up trend line several times and looks ripe for drop. Take your loss on a daily candle close back above the trend line . Target the three indicated levels. You can even hold a portion of the trade for the June 2017 low. Follow your stops as the trade moves in your...
As seen on the chart, the price was rejected emphatically on the Higher High of the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 53.179, MACD = 1.090). As a consequence (with the 4H Rising Wedge also broken) the Channel Up will now look for a Higher Low (Highs/Lows = -0.3729) and the potential buy zones are: 69.01 - 69.50 and 67.80 - 68.20. We will enter equal long positions on both...
USoil in an uptrend channel moving towards the 64$ price level in the next weeks. 50 period EMA supports the trend. No divergence on RSI.
June E-mini Light Crude is forming a bearish pattern of either a Gartley or Cypher. Next downside target at 48.425 and Cypher at 46.675. Potential rebound to 51, then possibly 53, with an outside chance at 54.475 before becoming bearish again.
Here's long term projection for ruble/barrel (ukoil * usdrub) aka rublebochka, DXY adjusted.
I think oil is set to blast off. The indications are clear in the prices but I also think fundamentally - not based on the current ratio supply and demand of oil necessarily but in the geopolitical uncertainty that lies ahead. If the USA proceeds with "defending" the South China Sea as promised by the leadership, we will see oil prices react.
Market has not closed above a 17 month high. Seems a good time to go short. Good loss to win ratio Stop loss- 53.50 First target- 48.20 Second target- 44.06 Happy Trading :)