In this chart I describe the relationship between gold, the pound and kiwi. I think we have a very strong trend going, which hasn't ended. It's highly possible that the gold EW count in the related ideas pans out, which would correlate with the bullish signals I obtain from the gbp/nzd and gbp/gold charts using time at mode. Initially, we had a correction after...
Target one reached. For the target two the stoploss is at breakeven. Happy trading! ___________________ Money management of my trades. There are two targets: the first one is at least double of the target two (the farthest). The proportion is 2/1. So, 2 lots for target one and one lot for target two.
Friends, A bird's eye-view from the monthly chart offers a probable geometry-based play, as illustrated in the following monthly chart: In essence, there are two levels to consider: A probable resistance and a lower support, based on simple structural analysis, and complemented by the Geo's own geometry rules. STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS: Very simply put,...
Here is my attempt on the dollar correction. First I figured out a leading diagonal withing a leading diagonal. I used MACD to identify which were likely to be the 3th Elliott wave. Than a correction may be in play: an ABC pattern The strategy is to buy at 62% retracement of the 'A' leg. Happy trading! ___________________ *For now on I'll reveal the money...
Confluences: 1/ with the trend 2/ bounce of the upper channelline 3/ 0.6625 as resistance level 4/ Fibonacci 61.8% bounce 5/ MACD bullish divergence Additional: * H&S - pattern on 4H/1H * Weekly high test * Fundamentals are in our favour
Hey gang, first of all thank you for all of the great comments on yesterday's youtube video "How Do Know If My Trading Strategy Is Failing" (www.youtube.com) You guys said that you've learned a lot and please continue to let me know exactly what that was in the comments section on Youtube. Today I've got bearish cypher patterns on both EURJPY and EURAUD on my...
In depth technical analysis on NZDCAD - My outlook is bullish on this pair
Two weeks ago, I suggested that the kiwi dollar could stop falling (after 12 consecutive weeks of declines against the US dollar) as a long term support at $0.65 was being tested. Prices are back up to $0.6515 just before the RBNZ rate statement later today. The consensus expects another 25 bp cut in the main refinancing rate to 3.00%. The latest cut took the...
With Jason out of town I’ll be pulling double duties helping out with the morning War Room as well and today I had about six potential trades on my radar. I typically don’t actively trade on Monday’s but I will be keeping an eye on the NZDUSD for multiple trading opportunities. Bigger picture I’m still looking for a chance to short this pair once we retrace to our...
Not a lot out there today, for me at least. We've got a handful of fundamental events coming out once the New York session starts so maybe the markets are waiting for them but keeping it short and simple we've got 2 potential advanced patterns that would complete at the exact same level here on the NZDUSD. Despite the underlying trend being heavily bearish, we are...
This is a 0.5% risk trade I am currently in. the downward move looks impulsive to the downside and I guess there is still high probability to continue going down. And from looking at AUDUSD (still to go down) and NZDUSD (going up and currently finishing wave 2 down) this trade seems ideal :) another "conservative"short entry could be entered after the price...
A few potential trades on my radar this morning including EURUSD, AUDUSD & AUDCAD (Long from overnight), but one that just caught my attention came on the NZDUSD. Even if you're new to reading a price chart it should be pretty obvious that the Kiwi has been in a downtrend. During this bearish movement I've been looking for different places to join the party each...
The kiwi dollar has fallen for 11 straight weeks against the US dollar (12 for the British pound), and I have the vague feeling that we may see the NZD/USD initiate a corrective bounce starting this week. Prices gapped downward to hit $0.6641 last night and are currently trading at $0.6697. I'm waiting to see how the US dollar performs with the return of North...
With the current sell off of the Kiwi, we are approaching an area where there could be a reversal. This ties in with the the EURNZD and AUDNZD pairs that also show an area of possible reversal. Price may rebound between the areas marked out by yellow boxes. The sharp drops from the yellow boxes above (supply zones) tell us the pair could rebound upon returning...
This is a good opportunity to earn a good return. The strong rally from 1.07 was due to the RBNZ Interest rate news. The negative news had a bullish effect on this pair, causing a 300+ pip rally. This rally is into an area where willing sellers overwhelmed demand. Chances are, another fall is likely here. The strong move up means there is no willing demand above...
The kiwi has been able to stable a relatively impressive entrancement, following the volatility in the dollar. I first noticed the rally yesterday after it was reported that US President Obama voiced his concern over a stronger US dollar; and all dollar-pegged currencies jumped. Here is my original tweet prior to the surge: twitter.com It is no wonder on why...
There are wide spread negative views for most USD pairs on the basis that FED might raise rates at some stage which would support USD strength. In the light of this it seems impossible for NZDUSD to form low in this area. I admit that I could be completely wrong and if so will not have to wait to find out. However, looking at the KIWI chart on Monthly, supports...
NZDUSD is testing March 2011 levels (.7108). Sentiment positioning shows +3.88 as nearly 4x as many traders are already long the pair vs shorts. When used as a contrarian signal, that means we have a future supply of sellers who would need to close their long position should this move materially lower. This appears to have room to run as well should a...