The KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...
U.S Initial Jobless Claims Rep: 187k ✅ Lower Than Expected ✅ Exp: 207k Prev: 203k (revised up from 202k) A positive release today with initial claims coming in much lower than expected. Chart Trend We are very close to taking out the lows from Oct 2022 at 180k claims on the chart. Importantly these charts do not update with revised figures and factoring in...
CME_MINI:NQH2024 - PR High: 17291.75 - PR Low: 17267.00 - NZ Spread: 55.25 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Discount margin reqs raised for news Inventory response ahead of 17200 prev supply - Trading just below prev session...
KOG REPORT – NFP: This is our view for NFP tomorrow, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings...
This analysis overlays US Recessions over CBOE:SPX on the top pane. Bottom pane is a technique shared by famous trader , Larry William - recently presented at a NAAIM Conference. The technique looks at US job market as % of population. You can find more on Sentimentrader. Larger declines in stock market are usually accompanied by a recession. There is clearly...
Looking at Job Openings data, bear markets end when RSI is below 30, we've just now crossed below 50, we have a long way to go. I think Job Openings need to fall to roughly 1/3 of the current level to 3mil or so down from 9mil, which would still be quite a bit higher than previous bear market bottoms. Equity levels will most likely follow right along.
CME_MINI:NQZ2023 - PR High: 15148.00 - PR Low: 15114.00 - NZ Spread: 75.75 Volume increase following FOMC afternoon Up Next... 08:30 – Initial Jobless Claims - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing 10:00 – Existing Home Sales Broke daily inventory floor of prev weeks - Continuing to sell into London hours Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A -...
CME_MINI:NQU2023 - PR High: 15221.50 - PR Low: 15198.00 - NZ Spread: 52.5 08:30 – Initial Jobless Claims - CPI Expected pre-RTH volatility from premarket news - NZ spread resting on strong inventory from prev session - Broke and held below daily range Evening Stats (As of 1:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807) - Session Gap:...
NFP – KOG Report: This is our view for NFP today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in...
As we approach the upcoming non-farm payroll (NFP) report this Friday, there is a setup on the NASDAQ that's worth noting. However, I won't be taking any trades at the moment due to the potential impact of the NFP report on the market. Nonetheless, I'll still provide some technical insights to keep you informed. It's worth keeping in mind that if the NFP beats...
finally JAY admits its not all in hand, another strong number on friday will get investord back in the 3Q 2022 mindset that Fed is behind, DIXY BULL, expect nasdaq to out perform DJI for 2H of 2023 after the initial jerk movement.
Wanted to quick share a SPY chart ahead of the December Jobs Data, which is scheduled to be released tomorrow morning Friday, January 6th: UNEMPLOY USNFP Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) Unemployment Level (UNEMPLOY) Non Farm Payrolls (USNFP) Average Hourly Earnings YoY (USAHE) Participation Rate (USLFPR) Manufacturing Payrolls (USMP) Average Weekly Hours...
CME_MINI:NQH2023 - PR High: 11006.00 - PR Low: 10983.25 - NZ Spread: 50.75 Evening Stats (As of 1:15 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.73% (filled) - 8/19 Session Gap: -0.04% (open > 13237) - Session Open ATR: 275.62 - Volume: 25K - Open Int: 244K - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -34.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 12391 - Mid:...
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if youre in this play. we pulled back and tested this break out zone at around 0.20c. tomorow willl be big when we get jobs market data. so we pulled back and now testing that zone. also the 200 simple is in the same place we"ll want to see if that turns into support. for bulls you want to see this hold and turn it into solid support then get over 0.24c and rip....
KOG Report NFP: This is our view for NFP today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile and can cause aggressive swings in price. After the...
The Canadian dollar has started the week with strong gains, recovering after sharp losses at the end of the week. There are no Canadian tier-1 events on the calendar, so US numbers will have a magnified impact on the movement of the Canadian dollar. The US nonfarm payrolls outperformed in spectacular style, posting a gain of 467 thousand jobs in January. Many...
Strong ADP jobs report showing 807K jobs vs 400K expectations. The main jobs report is on Friday (1/7//22), and I expect us to beat the 400K expectations and report ~570K jobs. Hopefully Omicron doesn't make the return of employment drag out more. Rolling 2Y correlation between the two around 70% after normalizing for COVID volatility in 2020.