Japan interest rate is at -0.1% vs UK interest rate 4% Where will large funds being swinging to, for better yields? Is there a possibility that an investor from Japan borrows money from local bank at very low interest rates, invest it in foreign asset classes for profiteering purposes? What will happen to the desirability of Japanese Yen vs other G7...
Forex Alert: Fed Officials' Six-Hour Speech Marathon Will the numerous appearances of US Federal Reserve officials rock the market during the closing hours of this trading week? Over the course of six hours leading up to the market's closing this week, we will hear from Lorie K. Logan (Dallas Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta), Michelle W. Bowman (Board of...
As mentioned before, so long as DXY has not reach the finishing line, which is the higher time frame upside objective, Risk Off will still be in play. Same narrative, different pair. What happens when DXY finally gets to the upside objective? We sit sideline and study what it wants to do next. There are only 3 possible direction of the market, Bullish / Bearish /...
Powell's speech may set the tone for Dollar to have a short term rally. I am still Bearish Dollar long term. But having heard what he said yesterday, it may give investors some sense of bullishness. At the moment and for this week, watching if DXY can really rally above the Weekly zone, and upside draw towards the Daily Volume Imbalance. Right now, its risk off...
CBOT: Treasury Yield Spread 10Y-2YY ( CBOT_MINI:10Y1! CBOT_MINI:2YY1! ), Micro Dow ( CBOT_MINI:MYM1! ), Micro S&P ( CME_MINI:MES1! ) On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raises its benchmark Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%. The move marked the eighth consecutive hikes that have began in March 2022. The overnight risk-free rate is...
Pappa Powell has unleashed the bulls. After breaking out of the descending channel this classic structure is now showing a real possibility of playing out. The upside would bring us back to ATH.
o,25% Rate Hike and this could potentially be it... or most likely almost it Then again it's up to the FEDS and especially Jerome Powell and his statement at the FOMC Press Conference. Jobs are ok, Inflation has eased (thanks to cheaper Oil and Gas prices mostly) GDP is also ok, in the US and China also At the same time consumer spending and Homes sales is...
As of recently we have been in a small bull run. Bulls have been pumping on bad news, being dumb and relentlessly rallying. This is normal for bulls though so what can we expect? Bulls gonna do what bulls gonna do! We are at a strong resistance/supply level however, the bulls have been very violent and are out for blood as they aim to plow through this...
Market trying to front run the fed, and trying to convince fed itself that fed is going to pivot XD (like a bunch of degenerates). And celebrating the likelihood of 25 bps like it's the start of bull market, even though several members of the fed this week have been hawkish. Even Jerome Powell himself has said, fed will have to do something the majority wouldn't...
With inflationary expectations low, a decrease in CPI and Core CPI, a likely slowing in interest rate hikes, there's too much positive news in the short term to ignore the likelihood of a near-term rally. Still, some hinges on Jerome Powell's outlook tomorrow, but I expect him to keep language as soft as his last speech. Last month, he was still very domineering...
Thanks to CPI report everything went up but still there is few signs to go down. 1. Taking resistance at 1810 2. In 1D timeframe we could see huge Divergence 3. Forming bullflag pattern 4. Tomorrow Jerome Powell will talk about interest rate increase. Our target will be 1730, 1690, 1620.
As long as inflationary expectations remained low after Jerome's last speech where he spoke about softening the increase in interest rates, which may or may not be the case, there is a good chance that inflation ticks down. This would confirm a 50bp hike for December, easing monetary policy and providing room for equities to continue their rally. While I think a...
This week we see what the fed is truly made of. Given continued hawkishness from the Fed in their minutes, by the end of Wednesday I believe we could be hovering just above the pre-covid highs in wait of the inflation report Thursday. If inflation is shown not to be slowing down I believe the follow through on this move down could be jaw dropping. In that case,...
Hello my Fellow TraderZ, So here we have $SOL today which is trying to hold up here after breaking the Trendline. Few more candles above the Resistance will clear the line for LONG Signal. Also see the Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern, which is still validate and post- breakout the price is retesting the neckline. All eyes on Powell Feedback about #CRYPTO's...
USDCAD Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.3410 (stop at 1.3350) Previous support located at 1.3500. Previous resistance located at 1.3530. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. Our profit targets will be 1.3530 and 1.3550 Resistance: 1.3530 / 1.3550 / 1.3600 Support: 1.3500 / 1.3450 / 1.3410 Please be...
$BTC dropped 8% last following Jerome Powell's hawkish messages at Jackson hole, stock market lost billions of dollars after the 8 minutes speech. Inflation is getting out of control if central banks don't move aggressively and Powell know that, this is why he sounded so hawkish : “We are moving our policy stance purposefully to a level that will be sufficiently...
New York Times Co Short Term - We look to Buy at 29.68 (stop at 27.17) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Trend line support is located at 29.60. Support could prove difficult to breakdown. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher....
With inflation's end nowhere near in sight, the Federal Reserve this week announced more "tough times" ahead - indicating that they're likely to do more interest hikes for the rest of 2022. Inflation rates in the US right now sits around %8-10 - but since CPI reports exclude food and energy prices by design, the "real" inflation rate is likely a lot higher. Most...