USDJPY - The overall market is good to follow Un-confluence
But you guys have to wait more the confirmation at M15 Key level before set entry.
If not, you should skip it
1. The big picture
What we can see on big picture now is " Buying pressure is being absorbed quite clearly"
2.The confirmation
First of all, the confirmation was show by breaking H1's Key level to change the trend from up movment to down movement in H1 timeframe.
It is the first confirmation for the pullback of DXY can run down more.
But, now market has come...
As price action now, price may pullback to H1 Key level.
We will wait what happen at Key level H1 to decide Sell or Up.
Everyone can consider to follow un-confluence strategy to buy now.
As my many analyzation about GOLD, Gold started the down trend from early this week to 1700.
The target done, now is the time we have to wait what happen next at D1's supply zone :
Below is my 2 scenarios for Gold before NFT :
1/ Marked will bounce from D1 zone to H4 and continue going down
2/ Continue going through D1 zone
As my view, market will run as 1/...
As my forecast at Jul 18 - Gold will pullback and go down.
Now, it has pullback from core zone and continue going down.
Everyone can refer this pair to sell on small timeframe with confirmation.
Temporarily, target will be 1700 first.
Early this week, we're looking for short buy chance on Pullback wave NZDUSD after market showed lack of liquidity as phase I in manipulation.
If price break out lowest low, this scenario will be canceled.
In long terms, selling power still really strong.
Senarios :
1/ Break and re-test KL H4
2/ Come to POI
I suspect the firtst cases than 2nd case but we still need the confirmation more.
Btw, Everyone wait more confirmation from candles pattern when DXY are too strong movement like this.
Overbought case and drop can be happened.
Risk management always need for the case like this. ( I prefer to trade when...
After main pairs moved last week, Crossing pairs should be foucsed after showing the pulse wave really strongly.
We're having 2 senarios as below :
1. If market bounce at H4's KL --> Wait to sell at POI
2. If market has broken H4 --> Wait to sell at H1's KL
Market has broken H1's KL with KL and show IMB. It matches with Manipulation phase II on up trend for H4 on pullback wave.
Monitor to buy or short sell on H1 with un-confluence strategy.
After sharply movement, US30 now came to Manipulation phase 1.
Using Un-confluence strategy to find the entry point.
If possible, we can wait for selling momentum is more clearly to sell.
If market can break out the recent highest high, market will come to the range case. We should wait.
Don't forget to risky zone at POI for up trend.
Market now on the range of H4.
H1 - up trend but up cycle on H1 is short and finished.
We're monitoring how price will act at H1's Key level.
If it bounce here --> it is good to Buy.
In case H1's KL for up was broken, selling order is our choice.
Fluctuation now is high when market in range. Becareful to any trade.
As my 2 previous analyzation posts about Gold. Gold is on going to finish the last wave in short pullback and prepare for long down trend on big timeframe.
Wait more confirmation signal from candle/price to entry at potiental zone.
In genneral, NZDUSD still in long pullback wave - We still looking for BUY-chance.
In short term, market created a long imblanace showing Smart Money signals joined for selling.
If you missed to buy at H4 core level,let's wait until POI of smart money broken.
![DXY: [Weekly forecast] - Dollar index](https://s3.tradingview.com/y/y8IQ870h_mid.png "[Weekly forecast] - Dollar index")
