The $NQ kissed major resistance today and sold off hard. This paints a few pictures. 1st, if we get a close above the resistance area we could see the bulls come alive. 2nd, we should test the lower flag area. 3rd, as we approach the FOMC announcement next Thursday (17th) the market could lose it's memory from day to day and get choppy. For now we are selling...
The $NQ is in the same situation as $ES. Choose your poison. We will not take the direct break. We will wait for a pullback to trigger on a shorter time frame. ANY CLOSE ABOVE 4370 and we will change our sentiment. Next week should be fun. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
The $ES is looking weak. The bounces have been feeble and with low volume. What started as a wedge has evolved into a flag and this points to lower prices. We WILL NOT take the break of the flag. We will wait for the break and look for pullbacks on a smaller time frame (60 min) to trigger us short. NO TRIGGER, NO TRADE!
Ok...we are not perfect and make mistakes. Price touched our trigger zone and we failed to get short. Bummer! We like to see price get into the zone...but its not a hard fast rule. It would have been a great trade. However, we are now back into the flag range which confirms a failed breakout. We will look to get short on any moves to the upside. ...
The $ES is in a tricky spot. Major resistance is above but is also butting up against a hidden resistance area now. It will take some serious buying to get us up to the watch areas. This is not a sell area for us however it is in the $NQ (see post). For now we will keep the $ES on the radar.
The Russell still has some ways to go until hitting her breakdown levels. It's lagging the $ES an $NQ. We will watch the 1152.00 area to see if price can hold. If we see price trade below this area then a squeeze could be in play. Be patient and wait for a trigger.
The potential bear flag did not form as price shot up and finished the week strong. The $NQ is now at the major breakdown level. While we expect volatility to continue it does need a rest. We like a move back down this week. We are still long term bearish on this market and will keep an eye on the watch zone. A break down of the level could send us to the...
The $NQ chewed up support which made it non existent over the last couple of days. The $NQ could be starting to develop a bear flag. We will watch this closely. We are short term bullish but long term bearish for now. The swings are wide. If you "must" trade, reduce your size and focus on one maybe two markets.
As with the ES...the NQ is in the same boat...although it has not broken down it's support level. If the NQ takes our support look out below. We are looking for bounces to short. NO TRIGGER...NO TRADE!
The market is technically broken. Today's sell off on volume did some much needed damage. It was good to see this. The market needs a pullback. We don't think we are done to the downside. However we are expecting a bounce at these levels. We will watch it closely Friday. WE WILL NOT establish any positions on Friday on the Indexes. We will wait for Monday....
Very interesting movement of European indices, where everyone made it out of the minimum of the day, closing positive after the support base (by definition support) of the descending channel that have been negotiating since early April . Thus, we believe that it is time to open long positions in all the European indices and in the case of the German Dax 30, with a...
I've been bullish on European equities since the start of the year (my French readers on DailyFX.fr know this), but I'm starting to think that these markets might start to consolidate. I'm not sure if the timing is right (I'd prefer around the end of the month with the FOMC meeting on the 29th), but I've just noticed a potential negative divergence on the daily...
Out of the 3 indexes ETFs I cover in this week's Weekly Markets Analysis, $IWM is definitely the strongest. The ETF bounced from the support zone mentioned last week and rallied back into the broken trading channel. Near 125-126 it will meet the top of its trading channel and the PRZ of a bearish Crab Read more about this trading scenario and more in this...
In this week's Weekly Markets Analysis I cover $SPY, $QQQ and $IWM. The last two shows strength over the $SPY, what does it mean? Who is giving us a hint regarding the markets direction? Is it the $SPY weakness or the $QQQ and $IWM strength? Check out this week's newsletter to view these analyses and more: marketzone.tumblr.com Subscribe to the...
Opening a long position here at 18543 where C=A. Looking for another push higher or at least in a 3 waves reaction
This is getting unsustainable, I don't see it going anywhere but down over the next 3 months. Could this be the bagholder's last ride after the end of QE? Just when they thought that the end of QE isn't going to affect stocks at all, it'll hit them even harder by surprise. I'm adding more short position here as we move on...